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GM.NYSE
General Motors
Consumer Discretionary · Automobile Manufacturers

Global automotive company designing, building, and selling vehicles with investments in electric and autonomous vehicle technology.

HQ: United StatesListed: United States

Historical AI Opinions

Audit every published iPulse AI forecast batch and immutable historical research document for General Motors.

General Motors Company (GM.NYSE) AI OPINIONS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS

Read and compare the 14 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.

Updated on 20 September 2026Deep analysis 20 September 2026

25 min readAudit All Past Forecasts

1. Investment Thesis — Base Case

The central tension is arithmetic versus the cycle. GM's earnings base is probably near a plateau — consensus already sequences normalized profit down through 2027 — yet the company is retiring roughly six to eight percent of its shares annually out of guided , not debt. Over five years the denominator does the work the numerator cannot. Investors are therefore buying a shrinking claim on a stable, tariff-harassed, truck-dependent profit pool at six to seven times . The base case is mid-to-high single-digit annual appreciation punctuated by tariff and rate-driven drawdowns, not a growth re-rating.

  • FY2026 adjusted guidance of $12.00-14.00 against $82.20 implies roughly six-to-seven times .
  • Holding that multiple while the contracts steadily yields high single-digit annualized price appreciation plus dividends.
  • At roughly $138 on about 700 million shares, implied equity value near $97 billion — 0.5x revenue.

Historical prices and published forecast

Historical prices and published forecastObserved prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in USD.15.7248.8982.07115.25148.43Sep 2021Mar 2024Sep 2026Mar 2029Sep 2031Forecast starts
  • Observed price
  • Published advisor forecast
Observed prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in USD.
View chart values
Historical prices and published forecast — published chart values
SeriesDateValue (USD)
Observed price2021-09-1451.3
Observed price2021-09-2250.6
Observed price2021-10-0454.0
Observed price2021-10-1257.9
Observed price2021-10-2854.3
Observed price2021-11-0155.3
Observed price2021-11-2163.6
Observed price2021-11-2561.7
Observed price2021-12-1558.6
Observed price2021-12-1955.0
Observed price2022-01-0862.1
Observed price2022-01-1261.6
Observed price2022-01-2850.2
Observed price2022-02-0551.9
Observed price2022-02-2546.4
Observed price2022-03-0146.5
Observed price2022-03-0941.0
Observed price2022-03-2944.7
Observed price2022-04-1039.9
Observed price2022-04-2638.0
Observed price2022-05-0441.2
Observed price2022-05-2435.2
Observed price2022-06-0138.8
Observed price2022-06-0538.1
Observed price2022-06-1731.7
Observed price2022-07-1131.7
Observed price2022-07-1933.7
Observed price2022-07-2334.3
Observed price2022-08-1238.7
Observed price2022-08-2839.7
Observed price2022-09-0138.3
Observed price2022-09-0941.3
Observed price2022-09-2933.3
Observed price2022-10-1132.1
Observed price2022-10-2336.0
Observed price2022-10-2738.2
Observed price2022-11-1239.8
Observed price2022-11-2440.3
Observed price2022-12-0638.4
Observed price2022-12-1438.2
Observed price2022-12-2633.0
Observed price2023-01-1935.7
Observed price2023-01-2738.0
Observed price2023-01-3139.3
Observed price2023-02-1643.1
Observed price2023-03-0440.7
Observed price2023-03-1633.9
Observed price2023-03-2433.9
Observed price2023-04-0136.4
Observed price2023-04-1735.1
Observed price2023-05-0332.5
Observed price2023-05-1532.4
Observed price2023-05-2333.4
Observed price2023-05-3133.2
Observed price2023-06-1637.9
Observed price2023-06-2436.7
Observed price2023-07-1440.1
Observed price2023-07-1839.0
Observed price2023-08-0736.8
Observed price2023-08-1134.1
Observed price2023-08-2332.9
Observed price2023-09-1633.5
Observed price2023-09-2432.4
Observed price2023-09-2833.2
Observed price2023-10-1829.5
Observed price2023-11-0329.8
Observed price2023-11-1126.8
Observed price2023-11-1928.0
Observed price2023-12-0533.0
Observed price2023-12-0933.7
Observed price2023-12-2536.1
Observed price2024-01-1036.2
Observed price2024-01-1834.6
Observed price2024-01-2635.2
Observed price2024-02-1539.0
Observed price2024-02-1939.0
Observed price2024-03-0240.9
Observed price2024-03-1440.5
Observed price2024-04-0345.2
Observed price2024-04-1942.4
Observed price2024-04-2745.8
Observed price2024-05-0144.5
Observed price2024-05-1745.8
Observed price2024-05-2943.3
Observed price2024-06-1447.6
Observed price2024-06-2247.9
Observed price2024-06-2645.8
Observed price2024-07-1649.6
Observed price2024-08-0142.7
Observed price2024-08-0540.8
Observed price2024-08-2548.2
Observed price2024-08-2949.4
Observed price2024-09-1044.8
Observed price2024-09-2248.5
Observed price2024-09-3044.8
Observed price2024-10-1649.0
Observed price2024-11-0553.7
Observed price2024-11-2560.2
Observed price2024-11-2955.3
Observed price2024-12-0354.2
Observed price2024-12-1950.9
Observed price2024-12-2754.3
Observed price2025-01-1250.4
Observed price2025-01-2454.4
Observed price2025-02-0946.9
Observed price2025-02-2146.3
Observed price2025-03-0548.5
Observed price2025-03-1347.1
Observed price2025-03-2552.6
Observed price2025-04-0248.0
Observed price2025-04-0643.3
Observed price2025-05-0445.3
Observed price2025-05-1650.1
Observed price2025-05-2049.7
Observed price2025-06-0547.3
Observed price2025-06-1748.3
Observed price2025-07-0352.5
Observed price2025-07-0751.8
Observed price2025-07-1153.4
Observed price2025-08-0452.8
Observed price2025-08-2056.8
Observed price2025-08-2458.6
Observed price2025-09-0957.8
Observed price2025-09-2961.0
Observed price2025-10-0757.3
Observed price2025-10-1155.8
Observed price2025-10-2769.8
Observed price2025-11-0468.5
Observed price2025-11-2472.2
Observed price2025-11-2873.5
Observed price2025-12-1481.3
Observed price2026-01-0781.9
Observed price2026-01-1183.1
Observed price2026-01-1978.4
Observed price2026-02-0484.5
Observed price2026-02-1682.6
Observed price2026-02-2879.3
Observed price2026-03-0478.6
Observed price2026-03-2072.8
Observed price2026-04-0573.8
Observed price2026-04-1378.7
Observed price2026-04-2179.8
Observed price2026-05-0376.0
Observed price2026-05-1974.6
Observed price2026-05-2784.1
Observed price2026-06-0883.8
Observed price2026-06-2877.6
Observed price2026-07-1876.0
Observed price2026-07-2282.1
Observed price2026-07-2685.6
Observed price2026-08-1189.3
Observed price2026-08-1985.0
Observed price2026-09-0487.8
Observed price2026-09-1286.1
Observed price2026-09-2480.6
Observed price2026-09-2582.6
Published advisor forecast2026-09-1882.2
Published advisor forecast2026-12-1884.7
Published advisor forecast2027-03-1880.4
Published advisor forecast2027-06-1886.1
Published advisor forecast2027-09-1887.8
Published advisor forecast2027-12-1892.2
Published advisor forecast2028-03-1894.9
Published advisor forecast2028-06-1891.1
Published advisor forecast2028-09-1897.5
Published advisor forecast2028-12-18101
Published advisor forecast2029-03-18104
Published advisor forecast2029-06-18110
Published advisor forecast2029-09-18112
Published advisor forecast2029-12-18116
Published advisor forecast2030-03-18120
Published advisor forecast2030-06-18116
Published advisor forecast2030-09-18122
Published advisor forecast2030-12-18126
Published advisor forecast2031-03-18129
Published advisor forecast2031-06-18132
Published advisor forecast2031-09-18137

2. Scenarios & Signals

Bull case

The bull case activates when tariff relief and an easing cycle arrive together. Removal of most of the $3-4 billion gross tariff burden drops straight to EBIT, adjusted pushes above $16, and a Fed pivot simultaneously revives affordability and compresses GM Financial's funding spread. With exceeding $13 billion, buybacks accelerate against a below 700 million, and the finally expands past eight times as investors reclassify GM from cyclical to . Doubling from here becomes arithmetic.

Bear case

The bear case activates if affordability breaks before hybrids arrive. Sustained $100-plus Brent shifts buyers toward hybrids GM does not sell, while 5.6% delinquencies and five-percent long yields push SAAR toward 13 million. Fixed-cost-heavy truck plants de-lever, adjusted EBIT halves, and the repurchase programme — the entire per-share engine — is suspended to protect liquidity. A formalized 50% Canadian duty would compound it, collapsing the multiple toward four times book-supported value near $50.

Current crowd narrative

The settled belief is that GM is a self-liquidating cash machine too cheap to fail: sixteen analysts carry a Strong Buy, UBS moved to $114, the average target sits near $101.82, and the himself called the stock a bargain near $75 [2][4][10][18]. The anchoring bias is guidance raised twice in one year, treated as a trajectory rather than a cyclical peak.

Alpha-gap assessment

The crowd modestly underestimates these shares, but not for the reason it cites. Consensus anchors on the guidance-raise momentum; the durable value is arithmetic — a already cut by a quarter in two years against $9.5-11.5 billion of guided automotive [7][11]. The analytical blind spot runs both ways: trailing P/E of 39.4 is an artifact of Q4 2025's $7.2 billion EV charge, while consensus simultaneously ignores a flattening 2027 earnings base [24]. Net: underpriced, modestly.

Convergence catalyst

January 2027's FY2026 results, FY2027 guidance and the customary repurchase re-authorization is the hinge. If adjusted guidance survives the Canadian tariff threat above $11, the market must concede durability. The first sign of repricing is a holding above seven times through a tariff headline.

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