General Motors Company (GM.NYSE) AI OPINIONS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS
Read and compare the 14 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.
Updated on 20 September 2026Deep analysis 20 September 2026
Universal Investor AI
The Polymath FrameworkModel rating
Buy
5-Year Return Est.
+72.1%
Includes 0.58% annual net dividend contribution
1. Investment Thesis — Base Case
The central tension is arithmetic versus the cycle. GM's earnings base is probably near a plateau — consensus already sequences normalized profit down through 2027 — yet the company is retiring roughly six to eight percent of its shares annually out of guided free cash flowfree cash flowFree cash flow (FCF) is cash generated after operating expenses and capital expenditures that remains available for debt reduction, reinvestment, or shareholder returns.View full glossary entry, not debt. Over five years the denominator does the work the numerator cannot. Investors are therefore buying a shrinking claim on a stable, tariff-harassed, truck-dependent profit pool at six to seven times forward earningsforward earningsEstimated future profitability used to calculate valuation multiples for investment analysis.View full glossary entry. The base case is mid-to-high single-digit annual appreciation punctuated by tariff and rate-driven drawdowns, not a growth re-rating.
- FY2026 adjusted guidance of $12.00-14.00 against $82.20 implies roughly six-to-seven times forward earningsEstimated future profitability used to calculate valuation multiples for investment analysis..
- Holding that multiple while the floatThe number of shares available for public trading in the market. contracts steadily yields high single-digit annualized price appreciation plus dividends.
- At roughly $138 on about 700 million shares, implied equity value near $97 billion — 0.5x revenue.
Historical prices and published forecast
- Observed price
- Published advisor forecast
View chart values
| Series | Date | Value (USD) |
|---|---|---|
| Observed price | 2021-09-14 | 51.3 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-22 | 50.6 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-04 | 54.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-12 | 57.9 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-28 | 54.3 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-01 | 55.3 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-21 | 63.6 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-25 | 61.7 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-15 | 58.6 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-19 | 55.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-08 | 62.1 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-12 | 61.6 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-28 | 50.2 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-05 | 51.9 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-25 | 46.4 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-01 | 46.5 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-09 | 41.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-29 | 44.7 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-10 | 39.9 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-26 | 38.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-04 | 41.2 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-24 | 35.2 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-01 | 38.8 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-05 | 38.1 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-17 | 31.7 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-11 | 31.7 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-19 | 33.7 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-23 | 34.3 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-12 | 38.7 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-28 | 39.7 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-01 | 38.3 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-09 | 41.3 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-29 | 33.3 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-11 | 32.1 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-23 | 36.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-27 | 38.2 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-12 | 39.8 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-24 | 40.3 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-06 | 38.4 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-14 | 38.2 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-26 | 33.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-19 | 35.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-27 | 38.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-31 | 39.3 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-16 | 43.1 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-04 | 40.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-16 | 33.9 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-24 | 33.9 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-01 | 36.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-17 | 35.1 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-03 | 32.5 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-15 | 32.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-23 | 33.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-31 | 33.2 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-16 | 37.9 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-24 | 36.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-14 | 40.1 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-18 | 39.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-07 | 36.8 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-11 | 34.1 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-23 | 32.9 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-16 | 33.5 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-24 | 32.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-28 | 33.2 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-18 | 29.5 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-03 | 29.8 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-11 | 26.8 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-19 | 28.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-05 | 33.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-09 | 33.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-25 | 36.1 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-10 | 36.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-18 | 34.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-26 | 35.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-15 | 39.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-19 | 39.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-02 | 40.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-14 | 40.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-03 | 45.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-19 | 42.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-27 | 45.8 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-01 | 44.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-17 | 45.8 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-29 | 43.3 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-14 | 47.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-22 | 47.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-26 | 45.8 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-16 | 49.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-01 | 42.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-05 | 40.8 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-25 | 48.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-29 | 49.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-10 | 44.8 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-22 | 48.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-30 | 44.8 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-16 | 49.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-05 | 53.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-25 | 60.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-29 | 55.3 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-03 | 54.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-19 | 50.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-27 | 54.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-12 | 50.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-24 | 54.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-09 | 46.9 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-21 | 46.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-05 | 48.5 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-13 | 47.1 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-25 | 52.6 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-02 | 48.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-06 | 43.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-04 | 45.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-16 | 50.1 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-20 | 49.7 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-05 | 47.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-17 | 48.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-03 | 52.5 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-07 | 51.8 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-11 | 53.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-04 | 52.8 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-20 | 56.8 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-24 | 58.6 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-09 | 57.8 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-29 | 61.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-07 | 57.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-11 | 55.8 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-27 | 69.8 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-04 | 68.5 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-24 | 72.2 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-28 | 73.5 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-14 | 81.3 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-07 | 81.9 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-11 | 83.1 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-19 | 78.4 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-04 | 84.5 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-16 | 82.6 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-28 | 79.3 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-04 | 78.6 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-20 | 72.8 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-05 | 73.8 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-13 | 78.7 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-21 | 79.8 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-03 | 76.0 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-19 | 74.6 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-27 | 84.1 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-08 | 83.8 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-28 | 77.6 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-18 | 76.0 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-22 | 82.1 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-26 | 85.6 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-11 | 89.3 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-19 | 85.0 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-04 | 87.8 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-12 | 86.1 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-24 | 80.6 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-25 | 82.6 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-09-18 | 82.2 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-12-18 | 84.7 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-03-18 | 80.4 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-06-18 | 86.1 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-09-18 | 87.8 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-12-18 | 92.2 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-03-18 | 94.9 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-06-18 | 91.1 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-09-18 | 97.5 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-12-18 | 101 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-03-18 | 104 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-06-18 | 110 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-09-18 | 112 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-12-18 | 116 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-03-18 | 120 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-06-18 | 116 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-09-18 | 122 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-12-18 | 126 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2031-03-18 | 129 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2031-06-18 | 132 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2031-09-18 | 137 |
2. Scenarios & Signals
Bull case
The bull case activates when tariff relief and an easing cycle arrive together. Removal of most of the $3-4 billion gross tariff burden drops straight to EBIT, adjusted EPS pushes above $16, and a Fed pivot simultaneously revives affordability and compresses GM Financial's funding spread. With free cash flowFree cash flow (FCF) is cash generated after operating expenses and capital expenditures that remains available for debt reduction, reinvestment, or shareholder returns. exceeding $13 billion, buybacks accelerate against a floatfloatThe number of shares available for public trading in the market.View full glossary entry below 700 million, and the forward multipleforward multipleForward multiple is a valuation ratio based on forecast earnings, sales, or cash flow rather than historical results.View full glossary entry finally expands past eight times as investors reclassify GM from cyclical to cash compoundercash compounderA business that generates high returns on invested capital and reinvests cash to grow value over time.View full glossary entry. Doubling from here becomes arithmetic.
Bear case
The bear case activates if affordability breaks before hybrids arrive. Sustained $100-plus Brent shifts buyers toward hybrids GM does not sell, while 5.6% delinquencies and five-percent long yields push SAAR toward 13 million. Fixed-cost-heavy truck plants de-lever, adjusted EBIT halves, and the repurchase programme — the entire per-share engine — is suspended to protect liquidity. A formalized 50% Canadian duty would compound it, collapsing the multiple toward four times book-supported value near $50.
Current crowd narrative
The settled belief is that GM is a self-liquidating cash machine too cheap to fail: sixteen analysts carry a Strong Buy, UBS moved to $114, the average target sits near $101.82, and the CFOoperating cash flowCash generated or consumed by a company's core business operations.View full glossary entry himself called the stock a bargain near $75 [2][4][10][18]. The anchoring bias is guidance raised twice in one year, treated as a trajectory rather than a cyclical peak.
Alpha-gap assessment
The crowd modestly underestimates these shares, but not for the reason it cites. Consensus anchors on the guidance-raise momentum; the durable value is arithmetic — a floatThe number of shares available for public trading in the market. already cut by a quarter in two years against $9.5-11.5 billion of guided automotive free cash flowFree cash flow (FCF) is cash generated after operating expenses and capital expenditures that remains available for debt reduction, reinvestment, or shareholder returns. [7][11]. The analytical blind spot runs both ways: trailing P/E of 39.4 is an artifact of Q4 2025's $7.2 billion EV charge, while consensus simultaneously ignores a flattening 2027 earnings base [24]. Net: underpriced, modestly.
Convergence catalyst
January 2027's FY2026 results, FY2027 guidance and the customary repurchase re-authorization is the hinge. If adjusted guidance survives the Canadian tariff threat above $11, the market must concede durability. The first sign of repricing is a forward multipleForward multiple is a valuation ratio based on forecast earnings, sales, or cash flow rather than historical results. holding above seven times through a tariff headline.
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