Research library
Consensus & Disagreement
When AI Advisors Agree: Distinguishing Forecast Risk from Forecast Reliability
Seven AI frameworks can agree because an asset is easier to forecast. This outcome study tests agreement against visible risk and a no-change baseline, then distinguishes direction from magnitude.
Methodology & Explainability
When the Horizon Changes the Verdict: A Paired Study of 14,000 Multi-Agent Investment Reports
Across 1,247 matched one-year and five-year consensus pairs covering 377 assets, the exact five-level verdict changed in 56.5% of pairs and the broader direction changed in 50.0%.