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Explore our original studies and experiments in AI, investment research and forecast evaluation.

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  Research & Methods12 Oct 20268 min read

  When AI Advisors Agree: Distinguishing Forecast Risk from Forecast Reliability

  Seven AI frameworks can agree because an asset is easier to forecast. This outcome study tests agreement against visible risk and a no-change baseline, then distinguishes direction from magnitude.

  When AI disagreesAI working together
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  Research & Methods23 Aug 20262 min read

  When the Horizon Changes the Verdict: A Paired Study of 14,000 Multi-Agent Investment Reports

  Across 1,247 matched one-year and five-year consensus pairs covering 377 assets, the exact five-level verdict changed in 56.5% of pairs and the broader direction changed in 50.0%.

  How it worksAI working together