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005930.KRX
Samsung Electronics Co
Information Technology · Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

South Korean multinational electronics company and global manufacturer of smartphones, semiconductors, and consumer electronics.

HQ: South KoreaListed: South Korea

Historical AI Forecasts

Audit every published iPulse AI forecast batch and immutable historical research document for Samsung Electronics Co.

Historical AI Forecasts

Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930.KRX) AI FORECASTS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS

Read and compare the 11 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.

Updated on 3 May 2026Deep analysis 3 May 2026

PublisherRusslan Ramdowar
25 min readAudit All Past Forecasts
J.P. Morgan AI advisor icon

J.P. Morgan AI

The Titan FrameworkAI Researcher

Model rating

Buy

5-Year Return Est.

+86.3%

Includes 0.22% annual net dividend contribution

1. Investment Thesis — Base Case

The Base Case projects Samsung consolidating its position as the ultimate geopolitical hedge in the semiconductor industry, generating compounding returns as memory supercycle cash flows fund massive foundry expansion. The true trajectory reflects the closing of the as actively diversify away from TSMC.

  • Aggressive capacity ramps up, allowing Samsung to reclaim high-margin memory share from SK Hynix.
  • Foundational DRAM and NAND remains robust due to discipline (HHI > 3,100) and structurally constrained supply.
  • The TSMC Diversification Panic forces to migrate to Samsung's advanced nodes, driving foundry toward the 15 percent target.
  • M&A activity in datacenter infrastructure and robotics builds out a highly profitable 'turnkey' ecosystem.
  • Consumer electronics face near-term headwinds but stabilize by 2028 as the replacement cycle inevitably triggers.
  • The net result is a structural rerating of Samsung's multiple from a cyclical hardware vendor to a permanent asset.

Historical prices and published forecast

Historical prices and published forecastObserved prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in KRW.17.02K123.16K229.3K335.45K441.59KApr 2021Oct 2023Apr 2026Oct 2028Apr 2031Forecast starts
  • Observed price
  • Published advisor forecast
Observed prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in KRW.
View chart values
Historical prices and published forecast — published chart values
SeriesDateValue (KRW)
Observed price2021-04-2683,500
Observed price2021-05-2079,500
Observed price2021-05-2479,700
Observed price2021-06-0582,100
Observed price2021-06-2581,600
Observed price2021-07-1179,600
Observed price2021-08-0482,900
Observed price2021-08-1277,000
Observed price2021-08-2072,700
Observed price2021-09-0577,067
Observed price2021-09-2577,433
Observed price2021-10-0771,600
Observed price2021-10-1169,625
Observed price2021-11-0470,600
Observed price2021-11-1270,600
Observed price2021-12-0275,800
Observed price2021-12-0676,300
Observed price2021-12-2680,300
Observed price2022-01-1178,900
Observed price2022-01-2771,300
Observed price2022-02-1674,800
Observed price2022-02-2471,500
Observed price2022-03-0472,900
Observed price2022-03-0869,500
Observed price2022-03-2869,700
Observed price2022-04-1766,667
Observed price2022-05-1165,700
Observed price2022-05-1967,500
Observed price2022-05-2367,900
Observed price2022-06-1660,900
Observed price2022-06-2859,400
Observed price2022-07-0656,400
Observed price2022-07-1861,900
Observed price2022-08-1159,900
Observed price2022-08-1960,900
Observed price2022-09-0855,600
Observed price2022-09-1257,600
Observed price2022-09-2852,900
Observed price2022-10-1055,600
Observed price2022-10-2659,400
Observed price2022-11-0760,200
Observed price2022-11-1162,900
Observed price2022-12-0960,400
Observed price2022-12-2955,300
Observed price2023-01-0255,500
Observed price2023-01-2663,800
Observed price2023-02-0363,500
Observed price2023-02-2362,000
Observed price2023-03-1159,667
Observed price2023-03-2362,300
Observed price2023-03-2762,100
Observed price2023-04-1266,000
Observed price2023-05-1464,367
Observed price2023-05-1866,200
Observed price2023-05-2268,500
Observed price2023-05-3072,300
Observed price2023-06-2772,600
Observed price2023-07-0969,633
Observed price2023-07-1773,300
Observed price2023-08-1068,000
Observed price2023-08-1866,300
Observed price2023-09-0371,133
Observed price2023-09-1572,000
Observed price2023-10-0566,700
Observed price2023-10-0966,300
Observed price2023-11-0269,700
Observed price2023-11-1070,500
Observed price2023-11-3072,800
Observed price2023-12-0872,600
Observed price2023-12-2878,500
Observed price2024-01-0179,380
Observed price2024-01-1771,000
Observed price2024-02-0275,200
Observed price2024-02-2273,100
Observed price2024-03-1772,633
Observed price2024-03-2179,300
Observed price2024-03-2578,200
Observed price2024-04-0285,000
Observed price2024-04-2276,100
Observed price2024-05-0881,300
Observed price2024-05-2078,900
Observed price2024-06-0174,233
Observed price2024-06-1778,100
Observed price2024-07-1187,600
Observed price2024-07-1586,700
Observed price2024-08-0873,400
Observed price2024-08-1680,200
Observed price2024-09-0569,000
Observed price2024-09-0967,500
Observed price2024-10-0360,950
Observed price2024-10-1561,000
Observed price2024-10-2757,367
Observed price2024-11-0458,700
Observed price2024-11-1253,000
Observed price2024-12-1455,933
Observed price2024-12-2253,333
Observed price2024-12-3053,200
Observed price2025-01-0755,400
Observed price2025-01-3152,400
Observed price2025-02-2058,400
Observed price2025-03-0853,700
Observed price2025-03-2060,200
Observed price2025-03-2460,500
Observed price2025-04-0953,000
Observed price2025-05-0354,360
Observed price2025-05-1557,300
Observed price2025-05-2753,900
Observed price2025-06-0859,625
Observed price2025-06-1657,200
Observed price2025-07-0662,233
Observed price2025-07-1462,500
Observed price2025-07-3072,600
Observed price2025-08-2371,433
Observed price2025-08-3168,300
Observed price2025-09-0870,100
Observed price2025-10-0289,750
Observed price2025-10-1491,600
Observed price2025-10-30104,100
Observed price2025-11-03111,100
Observed price2025-11-2396,067
Observed price2025-12-01100,800
Observed price2025-12-25114,050
Observed price2025-12-29119,500
Observed price2026-01-22152,300
Observed price2026-01-26152,100
Observed price2026-02-19190,000
Observed price2026-02-27216,500
Observed price2026-03-07183,300
Observed price2026-03-31167,200
Observed price2026-04-16217,500
Observed price2026-04-20214,500
Observed price2026-05-14296,000
Observed price2026-05-18281,000
Observed price2026-06-03356,000
Observed price2026-06-19354,000
Observed price2026-07-09278,000
Observed price2026-07-21259,000
Observed price2026-07-29208,500
Observed price2026-08-10230,000
Observed price2026-08-14274,500
Observed price2026-09-07270,000
Observed price2026-09-15248,500
Observed price2026-09-18261,000
Published advisor forecast2026-04-30220,500
Published advisor forecast2026-07-30229,320
Published advisor forecast2026-10-30210,974
Published advisor forecast2027-01-30232,072
Published advisor forecast2027-04-30245,996
Published advisor forecast2027-07-30253,376
Published advisor forecast2027-10-30240,707
Published advisor forecast2028-01-30259,964
Published advisor forecast2028-04-30272,962
Published advisor forecast2028-07-30283,880
Published advisor forecast2028-10-30300,913
Published advisor forecast2029-01-30321,977
Published advisor forecast2029-04-30309,098
Published advisor forecast2029-07-30324,553
Published advisor forecast2029-10-30337,535
Published advisor forecast2030-01-30357,787
Published advisor forecast2030-04-30368,521
Published advisor forecast2030-07-30361,150
Published advisor forecast2030-10-30379,208
Published advisor forecast2031-01-30394,376
Published advisor forecast2031-04-30406,208

2. Scenarios & Signals

Bull case

The Bull Case materializes if Samsung fully captures the cycle while simultaneously securing massive defection orders from TSMC (e.g., Apple or Tesla).

  • TSMC pricing arrogance or a Taiwan blockade forces a paradigm shift in global foundry allocation.
  • Samsung's 2nm yield issues are decisively resolved, enabling parity with TSMC on advanced logic.
  • The memory supercycle extends far beyond historical duration norms due to insatiable compute demand.
  • The stock undergoes a violent upward rerating, adding hundreds of billions to its as the undeniable Co-Pillar of the AI hardware era.

Bear case

The Bear Case unfolds if structural operational failures combine with a catastrophic macroeconomic demand shock.

  • Samsung completely fails Nvidia's qualification, surrendering the entirely to SK Hynix.
  • Advanced foundry yields remain hopelessly depressed, causing to abandon Samsung and accept TSMC's monopoly pricing out of necessity.
  • The ($119 crude) induces a deep consumer recession, cratering smartphone and PC demand.
  • Chinese trailing-edge dumping destroys legacy memory margins, trapping the Empire in a multi-year value destruction cycle.

Current crowd narrative

The noisy market treats Samsung as a bloated, cyclical conglomerate that permanently lost the AI memory war to SK Hynix and is hopelessly outmatched by TSMC in the foundry arena. Sell-side analysts anchor obsessively on short-term 3nm yield struggles and late qualification timelines. The prevailing consensus prices the recent massive stock surge as pure AI sympathy momentum and cyclical 'chipflation', completely missing the structural realignment occurring underneath. The crowd sees a struggling #2 player doomed to pick up low-margin scraps.

Alpha-gap assessment

The crowd's obsession with yield metrics fundamentally misunderstands the physics of Empire. The alpha lies in pricing the 'Diversification Panic'. are terrified of a single-island chokepoint in Taiwan; the global tech ecosystem has no choice but to force-feed capital, IP, and custom orders into Samsung Foundry until it becomes a viable counterweight. Samsung does not need to out-innovate TSMC; it will simply be crowned the designated geopolitical hedge. Coupled with its ruthless control of the >3,100 HHI memory , Samsung is an indispensable pillar of global hardware infrastructure, yet it is still priced at a discount to its structural permanence.

Convergence catalyst

The definitive announcement of a Tier-1 hyperscaler (Microsoft, Amazon, or Apple) officially awarding a flagship project to Samsung's 2nm (SF2P) node. This will unequivocally validate the diversification thesis, likely occurring in late 2026 or early 2027.

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