Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930.KRX) AI FORECASTS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS
Read and compare the 12 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.
Updated on 28 November 2025Deep analysis 28 November 2025
AI Advisor 1 AI
Model rating
Buy
5-Year Return Est.
+56.4%
Includes 0.22% annual net dividend contribution
1. Investment Thesis — Base Case
The most reasonable thesis projects Samsung as a primary beneficiary of secular AI growth, albeit sharing the HBMhigh bandwidth memoryHigh-bandwidth memory (HBM) is a stacked memory architecture designed to deliver high data throughput with efficient power usage.View full glossary entry market with strong competitors. While not monopolizing the high-end memory space, volume demand ensures robust profitability. The foundry business stabilizes but remains a distant second to TSMC, serving as a vital alternative for big tech. Cyclicality in memory persists but with higher lows due to consolidation and disciplined capexcapital expenditureCapital expenditure (CAPEX) is spending on long-lived assets or major improvements expected to support operations over multiple periods.View full glossary entry across the industry. Shareholders benefit from steady, moderate dividend growth and share buybacks driven by the Corporate Value-up program. The stock price reflects a gradual re-rating, tracking earnings growth and a modest expansion in valuation multiples over the 5-year horizon.
Historical prices and published forecast
- Observed price
- Published advisor forecast
View chart values
| Series | Date | Value (KRW) |
|---|---|---|
| Observed price | 2020-11-25 | 66,600 |
| Observed price | 2020-12-15 | 73,800 |
| Observed price | 2020-12-23 | 73,900 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-12 | 90,600 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-24 | 88,533 |
| Observed price | 2021-02-09 | 82,700 |
| Observed price | 2021-02-25 | 85,300 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-09 | 81,400 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-25 | 81,200 |
| Observed price | 2021-04-06 | 86,000 |
| Observed price | 2021-04-14 | 84,000 |
| Observed price | 2021-04-30 | 81,500 |
| Observed price | 2021-05-20 | 79,500 |
| Observed price | 2021-06-05 | 82,100 |
| Observed price | 2021-06-21 | 79,900 |
| Observed price | 2021-06-25 | 81,600 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-07 | 80,800 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-27 | 78,500 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-04 | 82,900 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-20 | 72,700 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-09 | 75,300 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-25 | 77,433 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-29 | 74,100 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-11 | 69,625 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-31 | 69,867 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-20 | 72,433 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-28 | 72,300 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-18 | 77,700 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-26 | 80,300 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-15 | 77,367 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-19 | 76,300 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-27 | 71,300 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-16 | 74,800 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-08 | 69,500 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-16 | 70,400 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-09 | 67,833 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-13 | 68,700 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-07 | 66,300 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-11 | 65,700 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-23 | 67,900 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-08 | 65,300 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-02 | 56,500 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-06 | 56,400 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-18 | 61,900 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-03 | 61,300 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-23 | 59,100 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-31 | 59,700 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-24 | 54,300 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-28 | 52,900 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-18 | 56,500 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-30 | 58,700 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-11 | 62,900 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-01 | 62,600 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-17 | 59,500 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-29 | 55,300 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-14 | 60,900 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-18 | 60,400 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-26 | 63,800 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-19 | 62,667 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-11 | 59,667 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-15 | 59,800 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-08 | 65,233 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-12 | 66,000 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-24 | 65,200 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-14 | 64,367 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-30 | 72,300 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-07 | 71,000 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-27 | 72,600 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-09 | 69,633 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-17 | 73,300 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-02 | 69,900 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-18 | 66,300 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-30 | 67,100 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-15 | 72,000 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-09 | 66,300 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-17 | 69,400 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-29 | 67,300 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-18 | 72,567 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-26 | 71,433 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-12 | 73,500 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-01 | 79,380 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-13 | 73,367 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-17 | 71,000 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-02 | 75,200 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-14 | 74,000 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-26 | 72,800 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-17 | 72,633 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-02 | 85,000 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-10 | 83,850 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-22 | 76,100 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-08 | 81,300 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-01 | 74,233 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-09 | 76,233 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-29 | 81,600 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-11 | 87,600 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-27 | 81,000 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-31 | 83,900 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-08 | 73,400 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-28 | 76,400 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-21 | 62,867 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-29 | 62,400 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-19 | 59,133 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-31 | 59,200 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-12 | 53,000 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-24 | 57,267 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-02 | 53,600 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-30 | 53,200 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-07 | 55,400 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-31 | 52,400 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-08 | 54,333 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-20 | 58,400 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-08 | 53,700 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-12 | 54,900 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-24 | 60,500 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-09 | 53,000 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-13 | 55,867 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-15 | 57,300 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-27 | 53,900 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-16 | 57,200 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-24 | 60,500 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-02 | 60,800 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-26 | 67,400 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-30 | 72,600 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-03 | 69,433 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-31 | 68,300 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-20 | 81,367 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-28 | 83,900 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-18 | 97,967 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-03 | 111,100 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-07 | 97,900 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-23 | 96,067 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-09 | 108,400 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-17 | 107,900 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-10 | 138,933 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-14 | 140,300 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-03 | 167,500 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-11 | 167,800 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-27 | 216,500 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-19 | 200,500 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-31 | 167,200 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-12 | 202,667 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-02 | 226,500 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-06 | 266,000 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-30 | 327,667 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-03 | 356,000 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-11 | 299,000 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-05 | 315,167 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-25 | 251,000 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-29 | 208,500 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-14 | 274,500 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-07 | 270,000 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-15 | 248,500 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-17 | 252,500 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-18 | 261,000 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2025-11-27 | 103,500 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-05-28 | 111,987 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-11-28 | 118,034 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-05-28 | 124,054 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-11-28 | 114,998 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-05-28 | 127,993 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-11-28 | 135,032 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-05-28 | 142,054 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-11-28 | 148,020 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-05-28 | 154,089 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-11-28 | 160,099 |
2. Scenarios & Signals
Bull case
In this scenario, Samsung Electronics successfully captures a dominant market share in the HBM4high bandwidth memory 4High-bandwidth memory 4 (HBM4) is a fourth-generation high-bandwidth memory standard designed to deliver faster data transfer and higher capacity for performance-intensive computing workloads.View full glossary entry and subsequent high-bandwidth memory generations, surpassing competitors like SK Hynix due to superior production capacity and yield integration. The foundry division achieves a structural turnaround, securing major orders from top-tier fabless clients seeking diversification away from TSMC. Furthermore, the 'Korea Discountkorea discountThe valuation gap between Korean stocks and global peers due to governance and geopolitical risks.View full glossary entry' significantly diminishes as aggressive shareholder return policies and governance reforms align with global standards. Macroeconomically, a sustained global AI 'super-cycle' keeps semiconductor demand outstripping supply for longer than historical averages, driving margins to record highs. Under these conditions, valuation multiples expand to converge with global tech peers, pushing the stock significantly higher.
Bear case
The bear case envisions a premature end to the AI infrastructureai infrastructureThe compute, networking, storage, power, cooling, software, and facilities used to develop and operate AI systems.View full glossary entry build-out, leading to a severe memory inventory glut by 2027. Samsung fails to close the technological gap in high bandwidth memoryHigh-bandwidth memory (HBM) is a stacked memory architecture designed to deliver high data throughput with efficient power usage. with SK Hynix and struggles with low yields in its advanced foundry nodes, leading to continued operating losses in the non-memory logic sector. Intensified competition from Chinese memory manufacturers in legacy DRAM and NAND erodes cash cow margins. Geopolitical tensions restrict access to key equipment or markets, while the Korean won strengthens unfavorably against the dollar, hurting export competitiveness. Governance reforms stall, leaving the valuation trapped at historically low price-to-book ratios despite earnings volatility.
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