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HOOD.NASDAQ
Robinhood Markets
Financials · Financial Exchanges & Data

Commission-free trading platform democratizing finance with mobile-first app for stocks, options, ETFs, and cryptocurrencies.

HQ: United StatesListed: United States

Historical AI Forecasts

Audit every published iPulse AI forecast batch and immutable historical research document for Robinhood Markets.

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD.NASDAQ) AI FORECASTS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS

Read and compare the 12 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.

Updated on 28 November 2025Deep analysis 28 November 2025

25 min readAudit All Past Forecasts

AI Advisor 1 AI

Independent Investor FrameworkAI Thinker

Model rating

Neutral

5-Year Return Est.

+64.2%

HOOD.NASDAQ does not currently pay dividends

1. Investment Thesis — Base Case

Robinhood navigates a complex environment with moderate success. The company continues to grow its user base, albeit at a slower pace than in its hyper-growth phase. New products, particularly retirement accounts and the credit card, gain steady traction, gradually diversifying revenue away from transaction-based sources. remains a strong contributor, buoyed by a stable interest rate environment. The regulatory environment tightens around PFOF, imposing stricter best-execution standards but stopping short of an outright ban, allowing the business model to adapt. The company achieves consistent, albeit modest, profitability. The stock price appreciates in line with its earnings growth and successful diversification, but is capped by persistent competitive pressures and regulatory uncertainty.

Historical prices and published forecast

Historical prices and published forecastObserved prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in USD.-13.347.76108.82169.88230.94Jul 2021Nov 2023Mar 2026Jul 2028Nov 2030Forecast starts
  • Observed price
  • Published advisor forecast
Observed prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in USD.
View chart values
Historical prices and published forecast — published chart values
SeriesDateValue (USD)
Observed price2021-07-2238.0
Observed price2021-07-3035.1
Observed price2021-08-0755.6
Observed price2021-08-1548.3
Observed price2021-09-0443.0
Observed price2021-09-0840.0
Observed price2021-09-2444.9
Observed price2021-10-0642.1
Observed price2021-10-2239.6
Observed price2021-10-2639.6
Observed price2021-11-1134.2
Observed price2021-11-1929.0
Observed price2021-12-0521.8
Observed price2021-12-1319.70
Observed price2021-12-2917.11
Observed price2022-01-1015.61
Observed price2022-01-2612.41
Observed price2022-02-0314.15
Observed price2022-02-1911.69
Observed price2022-02-2310.86
Observed price2022-02-2711.88
Observed price2022-04-0413.83
Observed price2022-04-0811.24
Observed price2022-04-1211.43
Observed price2022-04-2810.09
Observed price2022-05-109.27
Observed price2022-05-1410.50
Observed price2022-05-3010.14
Observed price2022-06-157.05
Observed price2022-06-237.98
Observed price2022-06-279.12
Observed price2022-07-178.55
Observed price2022-08-0610.49
Observed price2022-08-1410.98
Observed price2022-08-229.04
Observed price2022-09-1511.25
Observed price2022-09-239.44
Observed price2022-09-279.61
Observed price2022-10-0510.76
Observed price2022-11-0612.11
Observed price2022-11-109.27
Observed price2022-11-229.09
Observed price2022-12-049.78
Observed price2022-12-129.58
Observed price2022-12-287.70
Observed price2023-01-058.11
Observed price2023-01-219.58
Observed price2023-01-259.69
Observed price2023-02-0211.14
Observed price2023-02-1810.24
Observed price2023-03-109.01
Observed price2023-03-268.63
Observed price2023-04-039.76
Observed price2023-04-0710.00
Observed price2023-04-278.82
Observed price2023-05-099.11
Observed price2023-05-178.46
Observed price2023-05-258.60
Observed price2023-06-149.95
Observed price2023-06-229.45
Observed price2023-07-0810.93
Observed price2023-07-1211.94
Observed price2023-08-0112.87
Observed price2023-08-0511.30
Observed price2023-08-1710.07
Observed price2023-09-0211.04
Observed price2023-09-1410.57
Observed price2023-10-089.89
Observed price2023-10-129.29
Observed price2023-10-288.96
Observed price2023-11-059.62
Observed price2023-11-097.93
Observed price2023-11-298.92
Observed price2023-12-039.47
Observed price2023-12-1913.17
Observed price2023-12-2713.26
Observed price2024-01-1610.93
Observed price2024-02-0510.56
Observed price2024-02-0911.55
Observed price2024-02-1311.84
Observed price2024-03-0416.63
Observed price2024-03-1216.39
Observed price2024-03-2820.1
Observed price2024-04-0119.41
Observed price2024-04-2117.00
Observed price2024-05-1116.45
Observed price2024-05-1518.52
Observed price2024-05-2319.24
Observed price2024-06-0822.6
Observed price2024-06-1223.7
Observed price2024-06-2421.4
Observed price2024-07-2223.4
Observed price2024-07-2621.2
Observed price2024-07-3020.4
Observed price2024-08-0717.12
Observed price2024-09-0419.11
Observed price2024-09-1221.6
Observed price2024-09-1622.2
Observed price2024-09-2823.7
Observed price2024-10-1025.5
Observed price2024-10-3028.2
Observed price2024-11-0324.2
Observed price2024-11-2337.0
Observed price2024-12-0137.6
Observed price2024-12-1741.6
Observed price2024-12-2138.1
Observed price2025-01-0642.7
Observed price2025-01-1441.8
Observed price2025-01-3053.0
Observed price2025-02-1564.1
Observed price2025-02-2748.8
Observed price2025-03-1136.4
Observed price2025-03-2347.0
Observed price2025-03-2744.0
Observed price2025-04-0834.2
Observed price2025-04-2040.2
Observed price2025-05-1055.6
Observed price2025-05-1461.4
Observed price2025-06-0371.7
Observed price2025-06-0774.4
Observed price2025-06-2783.0
Observed price2025-07-0192.3
Observed price2025-07-17105
Observed price2025-08-02102
Observed price2025-08-10114
Observed price2025-08-18115
Observed price2025-09-03101
Observed price2025-09-15115
Observed price2025-10-01139
Observed price2025-10-09152
Observed price2025-10-17130
Observed price2025-11-02147
Observed price2025-11-18114
Observed price2025-11-22110
Observed price2025-12-04137
Observed price2026-01-01114
Observed price2026-01-05123
Observed price2026-01-13120
Observed price2026-01-29101
Observed price2026-02-0289.9
Observed price2026-02-2273.2
Observed price2026-02-2679.5
Observed price2026-03-1474.0
Observed price2026-03-2272.0
Observed price2026-03-3065.2
Observed price2026-04-1991.1
Observed price2026-05-0173.7
Observed price2026-05-2574.0
Observed price2026-05-2994.3
Observed price2026-06-0683.3
Observed price2026-06-18108
Observed price2026-06-2698.7
Observed price2026-07-04115
Observed price2026-07-2099.3
Observed price2026-08-0187.8
Observed price2026-08-1796.3
Observed price2026-08-25112
Observed price2026-09-06120
Observed price2026-09-16104
Observed price2026-09-18120
Published advisor forecast2025-11-26128
Published advisor forecast2026-05-27135
Published advisor forecast2026-11-27141
Published advisor forecast2027-05-27149
Published advisor forecast2027-11-27157
Published advisor forecast2028-05-27167
Published advisor forecast2028-11-27176
Published advisor forecast2029-05-27185
Published advisor forecast2029-11-27194
Published advisor forecast2030-05-27203
Published advisor forecast2030-11-27211

2. Scenarios & Signals

Bull case

Robinhood successfully transitions into a diversified financial super-app. Its credit card and retirement products see viral adoption, creating substantial streams and deepening customer relationships. A new, sustained bull market in both equities and cryptocurrencies drives record trading volumes and user growth. Favorable regulatory outcomes, particularly the preservation of Payment for Order Flow (PFOF), remove a major overhang. Successful expansion into the UK and other European markets unlocks significant international growth. This combination of product diversification, strong market tailwinds, and regulatory clarity leads to significant and a re-rating of the stock to a much higher , reflecting its position as a dominant next-generation financial institution.

Bear case

Regulatory headwinds materialize into a full ban on Payment for Order Flow (PFOF) by the SEC, crippling a core revenue stream and forcing a painful business model pivot. A prolonged market downturn or period of low volatility decimates retail trading activity, causing transaction revenues to plummet. Intense competition from both legacy brokers like Schwab and other fintechs erodes and drives up . New product initiatives, such as the credit card, fail to achieve meaningful scale or profitability. The company struggles to regain consistent profitability, leading to and a significant loss of investor confidence. The stock price would contract severely as its growth narrative unravels and its path to profitability becomes uncertain.

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