Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD.NASDAQ) AI FORECASTS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS
Read and compare the 12 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.
Updated on 28 November 2025Deep analysis 28 November 2025
AI Advisor 1 AI
Model rating
Neutral
5-Year Return Est.
+64.2%
HOOD.NASDAQ does not currently pay dividends
1. Investment Thesis — Base Case
Robinhood navigates a complex environment with moderate success. The company continues to grow its user base, albeit at a slower pace than in its hyper-growth phase. New products, particularly retirement accounts and the credit card, gain steady traction, gradually diversifying revenue away from transaction-based sources. Net interest incomenet interest incomeIncome a lender earns from interest on assets minus interest paid on funding sources.View full glossary entry remains a strong contributor, buoyed by a stable interest rate environment. The regulatory environment tightens around PFOF, imposing stricter best-execution standards but stopping short of an outright ban, allowing the business model to adapt. The company achieves consistent, albeit modest, profitability. The stock price appreciates in line with its earnings growth and successful diversification, but is capped by persistent competitive pressures and regulatory uncertainty.
Historical prices and published forecast
- Observed price
- Published advisor forecast
View chart values
| Series | Date | Value (USD) |
|---|---|---|
| Observed price | 2021-07-22 | 38.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-30 | 35.1 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-07 | 55.6 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-15 | 48.3 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-04 | 43.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-08 | 40.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-24 | 44.9 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-06 | 42.1 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-22 | 39.6 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-26 | 39.6 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-11 | 34.2 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-19 | 29.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-05 | 21.8 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-13 | 19.70 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-29 | 17.11 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-10 | 15.61 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-26 | 12.41 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-03 | 14.15 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-19 | 11.69 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-23 | 10.86 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-27 | 11.88 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-04 | 13.83 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-08 | 11.24 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-12 | 11.43 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-28 | 10.09 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-10 | 9.27 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-14 | 10.50 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-30 | 10.14 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-15 | 7.05 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-23 | 7.98 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-27 | 9.12 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-17 | 8.55 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-06 | 10.49 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-14 | 10.98 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-22 | 9.04 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-15 | 11.25 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-23 | 9.44 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-27 | 9.61 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-05 | 10.76 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-06 | 12.11 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-10 | 9.27 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-22 | 9.09 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-04 | 9.78 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-12 | 9.58 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-28 | 7.70 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-05 | 8.11 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-21 | 9.58 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-25 | 9.69 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-02 | 11.14 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-18 | 10.24 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-10 | 9.01 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-26 | 8.63 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-03 | 9.76 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-07 | 10.00 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-27 | 8.82 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-09 | 9.11 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-17 | 8.46 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-25 | 8.60 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-14 | 9.95 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-22 | 9.45 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-08 | 10.93 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-12 | 11.94 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-01 | 12.87 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-05 | 11.30 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-17 | 10.07 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-02 | 11.04 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-14 | 10.57 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-08 | 9.89 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-12 | 9.29 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-28 | 8.96 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-05 | 9.62 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-09 | 7.93 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-29 | 8.92 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-03 | 9.47 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-19 | 13.17 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-27 | 13.26 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-16 | 10.93 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-05 | 10.56 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-09 | 11.55 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-13 | 11.84 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-04 | 16.63 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-12 | 16.39 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-28 | 20.1 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-01 | 19.41 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-21 | 17.00 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-11 | 16.45 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-15 | 18.52 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-23 | 19.24 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-08 | 22.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-12 | 23.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-24 | 21.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-22 | 23.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-26 | 21.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-30 | 20.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-07 | 17.12 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-04 | 19.11 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-12 | 21.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-16 | 22.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-28 | 23.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-10 | 25.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-30 | 28.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-03 | 24.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-23 | 37.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-01 | 37.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-17 | 41.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-21 | 38.1 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-06 | 42.7 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-14 | 41.8 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-30 | 53.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-15 | 64.1 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-27 | 48.8 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-11 | 36.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-23 | 47.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-27 | 44.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-08 | 34.2 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-20 | 40.2 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-10 | 55.6 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-14 | 61.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-03 | 71.7 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-07 | 74.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-27 | 83.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-01 | 92.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-17 | 105 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-02 | 102 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-10 | 114 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-18 | 115 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-03 | 101 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-15 | 115 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-01 | 139 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-09 | 152 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-17 | 130 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-02 | 147 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-18 | 114 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-22 | 110 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-04 | 137 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-01 | 114 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-05 | 123 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-13 | 120 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-29 | 101 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-02 | 89.9 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-22 | 73.2 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-26 | 79.5 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-14 | 74.0 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-22 | 72.0 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-30 | 65.2 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-19 | 91.1 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-01 | 73.7 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-25 | 74.0 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-29 | 94.3 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-06 | 83.3 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-18 | 108 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-26 | 98.7 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-04 | 115 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-20 | 99.3 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-01 | 87.8 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-17 | 96.3 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-25 | 112 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-06 | 120 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-16 | 104 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-18 | 120 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2025-11-26 | 128 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-05-27 | 135 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-11-27 | 141 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-05-27 | 149 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-11-27 | 157 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-05-27 | 167 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-11-27 | 176 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-05-27 | 185 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-11-27 | 194 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-05-27 | 203 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-11-27 | 211 |
2. Scenarios & Signals
Bull case
Robinhood successfully transitions into a diversified financial super-app. Its credit card and retirement products see viral adoption, creating substantial recurring revenuerecurring revenueRevenue expected to repeat under subscriptions, contracts, renewals, or recurring customer usage.View full glossary entry streams and deepening customer relationships. A new, sustained bull market in both equities and cryptocurrencies drives record trading volumes and user growth. Favorable regulatory outcomes, particularly the preservation of Payment for Order Flow (PFOF), remove a major overhang. Successful expansion into the UK and other European markets unlocks significant international growth. This combination of product diversification, strong market tailwinds, and regulatory clarity leads to significant margin expansionmargin expansionAn increase in profit as a percentage of revenue.View full glossary entry and a re-rating of the stock to a much higher valuation multiplevaluation multipleA ratio comparing market or enterprise value with a financial measure such as earnings, revenue, book value, or cash flow.View full glossary entry, reflecting its position as a dominant next-generation financial institution.
Bear case
Regulatory headwinds materialize into a full ban on Payment for Order Flow (PFOF) by the SEC, crippling a core revenue stream and forcing a painful business model pivot. A prolonged market downturn or period of low volatility decimates retail trading activity, causing transaction revenues to plummet. Intense competition from both legacy brokers like Schwab and other fintechs erodes market share and drives up customer acquisition costscustomer acquisition costsThe sales and marketing cost required to acquire a new customer.View full glossary entry. New product initiatives, such as the credit card, fail to achieve meaningful scale or profitability. The company struggles to regain consistent profitability, leading to cash burncash burnThe rate at which a company consumes its cash reserves to fund operations before achieving profitability.View full glossary entry and a significant loss of investor confidence. The stock price would contract severely as its growth narrative unravels and its path to profitability becomes uncertain.
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