Pinterest, Inc. (PINS.NYSE) AI FORECASTS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS
Read and compare the 12 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.
Updated on 28 November 2025Deep analysis 28 November 2025
AI Advisor 1 AI
Model rating
Buy
5-Year Return Est.
+105.2%
PINS.NYSE does not currently pay dividends
1. Investment Thesis — Base Case
At the current price of $25.57, Pinterest represents an attractive risk-reward proposition characterized by steady, if unspectacular, compounding. The thesis rests on the successful execution of its 'monetization per user' strategy rather than explosive user growth. While MAU growth in the US has saturated, the integration of third-party demand (Amazon/Google) provides a durable floor for ad pricing and fill rates. We expect Pinterest to maintain revenue growth in the mid-to-high teens (15-18%) annually, driven by ARPU expansionarpu expansionARPU expansion refers to growth in average revenue per user, often driven by pricing, usage intensity, mix shift, or upselling.View full glossary entry and improved shoppability features. The company's discipline in managing opex, established in 2024-2025, yields consistent EBITDA marginebitda marginA profitability ratio equal to EBITDA divided by revenue.View full glossary entry expansion. The stock is likely to grind higher as earnings catch up to valuation, revisiting the $40-$50 range over the forecast period.
Historical prices and published forecast
- Observed price
- Published advisor forecast
View chart values
| Series | Date | Value (USD) |
|---|---|---|
| Observed price | 2020-11-23 | 65.8 |
| Observed price | 2020-12-17 | 71.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-02 | 67.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-10 | 71.8 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-26 | 69.2 |
| Observed price | 2021-02-11 | 87.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-02-15 | 87.9 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-07 | 64.4 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-27 | 69.2 |
| Observed price | 2021-04-08 | 86.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-04-12 | 84.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-05-06 | 59.2 |
| Observed price | 2021-05-14 | 58.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-05-30 | 64.8 |
| Observed price | 2021-06-07 | 65.4 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-01 | 79.9 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-05 | 80.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-17 | 69.6 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-06 | 58.8 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-18 | 54.1 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-03 | 56.6 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-19 | 53.3 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-05 | 50.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-21 | 61.4 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-25 | 50.7 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-02 | 44.4 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-22 | 43.1 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-16 | 34.9 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-24 | 37.3 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-09 | 32.6 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-17 | 32.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-10 | 25.6 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-26 | 26.5 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-06 | 23.5 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-14 | 22.4 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-03 | 26.5 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-11 | 23.3 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-27 | 18.67 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-21 | 22.8 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-25 | 18.90 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-14 | 17.19 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-26 | 21.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-20 | 21.3 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-24 | 18.08 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-01 | 19.99 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-25 | 24.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-02 | 22.1 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-10 | 25.6 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-08 | 25.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-16 | 22.1 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-28 | 24.9 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-09 | 21.3 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-07 | 22.7 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-15 | 25.2 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-27 | 23.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-12 | 26.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-05 | 27.8 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-09 | 24.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-17 | 24.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-05 | 26.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-13 | 23.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-06 | 28.3 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-14 | 28.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-04 | 20.8 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-12 | 21.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-28 | 24.3 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-09 | 23.9 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-29 | 27.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-19 | 29.8 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-27 | 26.9 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-31 | 29.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-12 | 25.9 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-05 | 28.8 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-17 | 25.5 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-03 | 25.9 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-11 | 28.5 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-27 | 24.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-08 | 31.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-24 | 31.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-14 | 37.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-03 | 35.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-11 | 37.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-15 | 36.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-08 | 40.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-20 | 35.1 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-03 | 36.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-19 | 33.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-31 | 35.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-20 | 32.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-02 | 40.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-18 | 42.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-30 | 41.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-03 | 41.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-27 | 44.1 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-05 | 43.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-25 | 37.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-29 | 37.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-06 | 28.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-30 | 32.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-15 | 28.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-23 | 30.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-13 | 34.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-06 | 33.8 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-14 | 29.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-18 | 29.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-08 | 32.8 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-28 | 29.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-05 | 31.9 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-13 | 30.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-06 | 33.6 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-10 | 39.6 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-06 | 34.5 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-22 | 33.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-03 | 27.5 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-11 | 26.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-19 | 24.7 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-05 | 27.5 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-13 | 32.9 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-02 | 31.9 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-26 | 35.1 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-12 | 35.6 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-20 | 37.7 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-05 | 38.9 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-09 | 34.8 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-06 | 37.9 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-10 | 35.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-22 | 35.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-12 | 31.6 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-24 | 34.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-05 | 25.8 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-21 | 25.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-03 | 27.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-15 | 25.8 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-08 | 26.8 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-12 | 26.8 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-05 | 19.32 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-09 | 20.1 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-13 | 15.42 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-09 | 19.65 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-29 | 17.93 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-10 | 17.62 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-22 | 20.6 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-08 | 21.3 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-20 | 18.81 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-09 | 21.9 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-25 | 19.48 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-29 | 21.9 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-15 | 23.7 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-04 | 25.6 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-12 | 22.9 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-24 | 23.5 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-09 | 18.28 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-16 | 18.65 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-17 | 18.31 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-18 | 18.60 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2025-11-26 | 25.6 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-05-27 | 28.4 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-11-27 | 31.8 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-05-27 | 34.5 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-11-27 | 37.2 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-05-27 | 40.1 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-11-27 | 42.8 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-05-27 | 45.0 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-11-27 | 47.6 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-05-27 | 49.8 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-11-27 | 52.5 |
2. Scenarios & Signals
Bull case
Pinterest successfully transitions from a visual discovery engine to a primary e-commerce destination, leveraging its 'high-intent' user base. The maturation of third-party partnerships with Amazon and Google solves previous monetization gaps, driving North American ARPUaverage revenue per userAverage revenue per user (ARPU) measures the revenue generated per customer, subscriber, or account over a specified period.View full glossary entry toward $12-$15 and International significantly higher. Superior implementation of AI-driven recommendation algorithms (increasing engagement via 'Shuffles' and video) successfully counters competition from TikTok and Instagram. As margins expand toward 30% due to operational leverage and automated ad-serving, the market re-rates PINS closer to e-commerce multiples rather than social media multiples. In this scenario, Pinterest becomes the de facto 'mall of the internet', justifying a market cap exceeding $60 billion.
Bear case
Pinterest fails to break out of its niche status, with user growth plateauing in North America and stalling internationally. The Amazon and Google partnerships prove to be deflationary for PINS' own direct-sales ad pricing, turning the platform into a low-margin traffic hose for larger tech giants rather than a standalone premium ad ecosystem. Engagement metrics deteriorate as Gen Z users migrate entirely to short-form video platforms, rendering Pinterest's static image format obsolete. In a recessionary environment, discretionary ad spend on 'experimental' platforms like Pinterest is cut first. Valuation compresses to low single-digit revenue multiples as the company struggles to maintain profitability, potentially drifting toward $10-$15 per share.
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