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LCID.NASDAQ
Lucid Group
Consumer Discretionary · Automobile Manufacturers

Luxury electric vehicle manufacturer producing high-performance EVs with advanced battery technology and autonomous driving capabilities.

HQ: United StatesListed: United States

Historical AI Forecasts

Audit every published iPulse AI forecast batch and immutable historical research document for Lucid Group.

Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID.NASDAQ) AI FORECASTS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS

Read and compare the 12 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.

Updated on 28 November 2025Deep analysis 28 November 2025

25 min readAudit All Past Forecasts

AI Advisor 1 AI

Independent Investor FrameworkAI Thinker

Model rating

Buy

5-Year Return Est.

+213.4%

LCID.NASDAQ does not currently pay dividends

1. Investment Thesis — Base Case

Lucid navigates a challenging but ultimately successful production ramp for its Gravity SUV, which becomes a critical revenue contributor despite facing intense competition. The company makes steady, incremental progress on manufacturing efficiency and cost reduction, but achieving positive and profitability remains a multi-year journey. Its financial stability will continue to heavily rely on the support of Saudi Arabia's PIF, with further capital injections likely necessary to fund operations and future growth. The stock will remain highly volatile, reacting sharply to quarterly production figures, delivery numbers, and rates. Over the five-year horizon, Lucid will carve out a sustainable niche in the high-end EV market, leading to a gradual, albeit bumpy, appreciation in its valuation as execution risks slowly subside.

Historical prices and published forecast

Historical prices and published forecastObserved prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in USD.-51.79115.69283.17450.65618.13Nov 2020May 2023Nov 2025May 2028Nov 2030Forecast starts
  • Observed price
  • Published advisor forecast
Observed prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in USD.
View chart values
Historical prices and published forecast — published chart values
SeriesDateValue (USD)
Observed price2020-11-2597.6
Observed price2020-12-1599.7
Observed price2020-12-31100
Observed price2021-01-16182
Observed price2021-01-20181
Observed price2021-02-13432
Observed price2021-02-17562
Observed price2021-03-05244
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Observed price2021-03-29214
Observed price2021-04-26239
Observed price2021-05-08191
Observed price2021-05-12178
Observed price2021-06-05248
Observed price2021-06-21230
Observed price2021-07-03269
Observed price2021-07-11264
Observed price2021-07-19222
Observed price2021-08-12239
Observed price2021-08-28209
Observed price2021-09-01178
Observed price2021-09-21268
Observed price2021-09-29263
Observed price2021-10-11229
Observed price2021-10-27270
Observed price2021-11-16555
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Observed price2021-12-10377
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Observed price2022-02-12264
Observed price2022-02-16290
Observed price2022-03-12225
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Observed price2022-10-14119
Observed price2022-10-30143
Observed price2022-11-19109
Observed price2022-11-23103
Observed price2022-12-1773.2
Observed price2023-01-0263.4
Observed price2023-01-1481.3
Observed price2023-01-1881.6
Observed price2023-01-30118
Observed price2023-02-15110
Observed price2023-03-1178.6
Observed price2023-03-1574.0
Observed price2023-03-2381.9
Observed price2023-04-1281.3
Observed price2023-04-2470.0
Observed price2023-05-2678.7
Observed price2023-06-0366.0
Observed price2023-06-2354.7
Observed price2023-07-0170.6
Observed price2023-07-0977.7
Observed price2023-07-2568.4
Observed price2023-08-0268.9
Observed price2023-08-2660.6
Observed price2023-08-3063.6
Observed price2023-09-2351.2
Observed price2023-10-0155.6
Observed price2023-10-2143.0
Observed price2023-11-0245.4
Observed price2023-11-1038.0
Observed price2023-11-2242.0
Observed price2023-12-1647.6
Observed price2023-12-2443.0
Observed price2024-01-1329.7
Observed price2024-01-2526.6
Observed price2024-02-1035.4
Observed price2024-02-1837.0
Observed price2024-03-0930.6
Observed price2024-03-2529.2
Observed price2024-04-0626.2
Observed price2024-04-2223.8
Observed price2024-05-0428.8
Observed price2024-05-0827.1
Observed price2024-05-1628.8
Observed price2024-06-0527.9
Observed price2024-06-2124.9
Observed price2024-07-0329.5
Observed price2024-07-1536.1
Observed price2024-08-1229.0
Observed price2024-08-2442.2
Observed price2024-09-0934.6
Observed price2024-09-1339.4
Observed price2024-09-2935.5
Observed price2024-10-1926.0
Observed price2024-10-2725.1
Observed price2024-11-1620.5
Observed price2024-11-2020.3
Observed price2024-12-1426.3
Observed price2024-12-1825.3
Observed price2024-12-2633.0
Observed price2025-01-1530.4
Observed price2025-01-2327.2
Observed price2025-02-1634.0
Observed price2025-03-0421.0
Observed price2025-03-1621.4
Observed price2025-04-0125.3
Observed price2025-04-2123.2
Observed price2025-04-2925.6
Observed price2025-05-1526.9
Observed price2025-05-3122.2
Observed price2025-06-0422.3
Observed price2025-06-2821.2
Observed price2025-07-0220.5
Observed price2025-07-2231.3
Observed price2025-07-3025.0
Observed price2025-08-2320.5
Observed price2025-09-0416.16
Observed price2025-09-2021.5
Observed price2025-10-0224.1
Observed price2025-10-1819.72
Observed price2025-10-2218.50
Observed price2025-11-1513.77
Observed price2025-11-2713.51
Observed price2025-12-1312.30
Observed price2025-12-2112.14
Observed price2025-12-2911.11
Observed price2026-01-189.93
Observed price2026-01-2211.47
Observed price2026-02-239.44
Observed price2026-03-0310.11
Observed price2026-03-1110.68
Observed price2026-03-279.40
Observed price2026-04-129.02
Observed price2026-04-285.87
Observed price2026-05-185.73
Observed price2026-05-306.58
Observed price2026-06-075.10
Observed price2026-06-276.12
Observed price2026-07-135.51
Observed price2026-07-177.36
Observed price2026-07-297.96
Observed price2026-08-225.37
Observed price2026-08-264.95
Observed price2026-09-154.12
Observed price2026-09-164.04
Observed price2026-09-174.28
Observed price2026-09-184.09
Published advisor forecast2025-11-2613.38
Published advisor forecast2026-05-2714.50
Published advisor forecast2026-11-2716.00
Published advisor forecast2027-05-2718.49
Published advisor forecast2027-11-2721.0
Published advisor forecast2028-05-2725.0
Published advisor forecast2028-11-2728.0
Published advisor forecast2029-05-2731.5
Published advisor forecast2029-11-2735.0
Published advisor forecast2030-05-2738.0
Published advisor forecast2030-11-2742.0

2. Scenarios & Signals

Bull case

Lucid successfully executes the production ramp of its Gravity SUV, meeting or exceeding delivery targets and capturing significant in the luxury electric SUV segment. Operational excellence leads to rapid improvements in , accelerating the path to profitability. The company's technological prowess is further validated through additional strategic partnerships, similar to its deal with Aston Martin, creating new high-margin revenue streams. Strong financial backing from Saudi Arabia's PIF, combined with a favorable macroeconomic environment of lower interest rates, fuels expansion and consumer demand. Lucid solidifies its position as a premier luxury and technology brand in the EV space, leading to a substantial re-rating of its stock as it becomes a sustainable, profitable enterprise.

Bear case

Persistent production bottlenecks and quality control issues plague the Gravity SUV launch, leading to missed targets and significant cost overruns. The company's high rate accelerates, forcing it to raise capital through highly offerings at depressed valuations. Intense competition from established luxury automakers like Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Porsche, who leverage their manufacturing scale and brand loyalty, erodes Lucid's and . A prolonged period of high interest rates or an economic recession severely dampens demand for high-priced luxury EVs. Lucid fails to achieve profitability, facing a continuous that could ultimately lead to a distressed sale or bankruptcy, wiping out shareholder value.

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