Lucid Group, Inc. (LCID.NASDAQ) AI FORECASTS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS
Read and compare the 12 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.
Updated on 28 November 2025Deep analysis 28 November 2025
AI Advisor 1 AI
Model rating
Buy
5-Year Return Est.
+213.4%
LCID.NASDAQ does not currently pay dividends
1. Investment Thesis — Base Case
Lucid navigates a challenging but ultimately successful production ramp for its Gravity SUV, which becomes a critical revenue contributor despite facing intense competition. The company makes steady, incremental progress on manufacturing efficiency and cost reduction, but achieving positive gross marginsgross marginsThe percentage of revenue remaining after deducting the direct costs of producing goods sold.View full glossary entry and profitability remains a multi-year journey. Its financial stability will continue to heavily rely on the support of Saudi Arabia's PIF, with further capital injections likely necessary to fund operations and future growth. The stock will remain highly volatile, reacting sharply to quarterly production figures, delivery numbers, and cash burncash burnThe rate at which a company consumes its cash reserves to fund operations before achieving profitability.View full glossary entry rates. Over the five-year horizon, Lucid will carve out a sustainable niche in the high-end EV market, leading to a gradual, albeit bumpy, appreciation in its valuation as execution risks slowly subside.
Historical prices and published forecast
- Observed price
- Published advisor forecast
View chart values
| Series | Date | Value (USD) |
|---|---|---|
| Observed price | 2020-11-25 | 97.6 |
| Observed price | 2020-12-15 | 99.7 |
| Observed price | 2020-12-31 | 100 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-16 | 182 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-20 | 181 |
| Observed price | 2021-02-13 | 432 |
| Observed price | 2021-02-17 | 562 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-05 | 244 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-17 | 295 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-29 | 214 |
| Observed price | 2021-04-26 | 239 |
| Observed price | 2021-05-08 | 191 |
| Observed price | 2021-05-12 | 178 |
| Observed price | 2021-06-05 | 248 |
| Observed price | 2021-06-21 | 230 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-03 | 269 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-11 | 264 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-19 | 222 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-12 | 239 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-28 | 209 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-01 | 178 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-21 | 268 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-29 | 263 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-11 | 229 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-27 | 270 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-16 | 555 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-28 | 539 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-10 | 377 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-26 | 384 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-11 | 455 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-19 | 400 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-12 | 264 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-16 | 290 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-12 | 225 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-24 | 263 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-09 | 217 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-13 | 221 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-07 | 176 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-11 | 139 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-31 | 202 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-08 | 196 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-16 | 156 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-14 | 201 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-26 | 181 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-03 | 206 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-23 | 160 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-12 | 166 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-24 | 140 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-28 | 152 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-14 | 119 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-30 | 143 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-19 | 109 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-23 | 103 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-17 | 73.2 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-02 | 63.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-14 | 81.3 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-18 | 81.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-30 | 118 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-15 | 110 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-11 | 78.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-15 | 74.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-23 | 81.9 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-12 | 81.3 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-24 | 70.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-26 | 78.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-03 | 66.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-23 | 54.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-01 | 70.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-09 | 77.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-25 | 68.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-02 | 68.9 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-26 | 60.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-30 | 63.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-23 | 51.2 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-01 | 55.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-21 | 43.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-02 | 45.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-10 | 38.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-22 | 42.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-16 | 47.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-24 | 43.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-13 | 29.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-25 | 26.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-10 | 35.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-18 | 37.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-09 | 30.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-25 | 29.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-06 | 26.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-22 | 23.8 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-04 | 28.8 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-08 | 27.1 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-16 | 28.8 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-05 | 27.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-21 | 24.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-03 | 29.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-15 | 36.1 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-12 | 29.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-24 | 42.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-09 | 34.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-13 | 39.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-29 | 35.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-19 | 26.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-27 | 25.1 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-16 | 20.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-20 | 20.3 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-14 | 26.3 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-18 | 25.3 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-26 | 33.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-15 | 30.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-23 | 27.2 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-16 | 34.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-04 | 21.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-16 | 21.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-01 | 25.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-21 | 23.2 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-29 | 25.6 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-15 | 26.9 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-31 | 22.2 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-04 | 22.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-28 | 21.2 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-02 | 20.5 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-22 | 31.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-30 | 25.0 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-23 | 20.5 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-04 | 16.16 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-20 | 21.5 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-02 | 24.1 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-18 | 19.72 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-22 | 18.50 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-15 | 13.77 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-27 | 13.51 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-13 | 12.30 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-21 | 12.14 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-29 | 11.11 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-18 | 9.93 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-22 | 11.47 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-23 | 9.44 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-03 | 10.11 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-11 | 10.68 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-27 | 9.40 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-12 | 9.02 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-28 | 5.87 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-18 | 5.73 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-30 | 6.58 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-07 | 5.10 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-27 | 6.12 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-13 | 5.51 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-17 | 7.36 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-29 | 7.96 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-22 | 5.37 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-26 | 4.95 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-15 | 4.12 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-16 | 4.04 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-17 | 4.28 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-18 | 4.09 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2025-11-26 | 13.38 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-05-27 | 14.50 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-11-27 | 16.00 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-05-27 | 18.49 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-11-27 | 21.0 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-05-27 | 25.0 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-11-27 | 28.0 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-05-27 | 31.5 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-11-27 | 35.0 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-05-27 | 38.0 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-11-27 | 42.0 |
2. Scenarios & Signals
Bull case
Lucid successfully executes the production ramp of its Gravity SUV, meeting or exceeding delivery targets and capturing significant market share in the luxury electric SUV segment. Operational excellence leads to rapid improvements in gross marginsThe percentage of revenue remaining after deducting the direct costs of producing goods sold., accelerating the path to profitability. The company's technological prowess is further validated through additional strategic partnerships, similar to its deal with Aston Martin, creating new high-margin revenue streams. Strong financial backing from Saudi Arabia's PIF, combined with a favorable macroeconomic environment of lower interest rates, fuels expansion and consumer demand. Lucid solidifies its position as a premier luxury and technology brand in the EV space, leading to a substantial re-rating of its stock as it becomes a sustainable, profitable enterprise.
Bear case
Persistent production bottlenecks and quality control issues plague the Gravity SUV launch, leading to missed targets and significant cost overruns. The company's high cash burnThe rate at which a company consumes its cash reserves to fund operations before achieving profitability. rate accelerates, forcing it to raise capital through highly dilutive equitydilutive equityIssuance of new shares that reduces the ownership percentage and earnings per share for existing shareholders.View full glossary entry offerings at depressed valuations. Intense competition from established luxury automakers like Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Porsche, who leverage their manufacturing scale and brand loyalty, erodes Lucid's and pricing powerpricing powerThe ability of a company to raise prices without losing significant customer demand.View full glossary entry. A prolonged period of high interest rates or an economic recession severely dampens demand for high-priced luxury EVs. Lucid fails to achieve profitability, facing a continuous liquidity crisisliquidity crisisA condition in which an institution or market cannot obtain cash or funding needed to meet near-term obligations without severe losses.View full glossary entry that could ultimately lead to a distressed sale or bankruptcy, wiping out shareholder value.
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