Monday.Com Ltd (MNDY.NASDAQ) AI FORECASTS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS
Read and compare the 12 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.
Updated on 2 July 2026Deep analysis 5 July 2026
Elon Musk AI
Price-adjusted rating
Strong Buy
5-Year Return Est.
+243.2%
MNDY.NASDAQ does not currently pay dividends
1. Investment Thesis — Base Case
The Base Case projects Monday.com surviving the initial 2026 macro energy shockenergy shockA sudden disruption or price change in energy markets that affects inflation, demand, and operating costs.View full glossary entry and liquidity drainliquidity drainA reduction in money or financing available to markets, which can tighten credit and pressure valuations.View full glossary entry, leaning heavily on its pristine balance sheetbalance sheetA financial statement showing assets, liabilities, and equity at a specific point in time.View full glossary entry and cash generation to vaporize outstanding shares. As the market digests the AI hardware phase, attention will rotate back to software platforms that can actually deploy agentic AIagentic aiAutonomous artificial intelligence systems capable of performing complex tasks and decision-making without constant human intervention.View full glossary entry to generate real ROI. Monday's transition from a human-centric Work OS to an autonomous workflow orchestrator will bridge the gap between LLM compute and enterprise execution.
- Aggressive share repurchases artificially engineer a rising EPS floor, creating an upward price spiral.
- FCF marginsfcf marginsFree cash flow as a percentage of revenue.View full glossary entry hold strong above 25% due to incredible 89% gross margingross marginsThe percentage of revenue remaining after deducting the direct costs of producing goods sold.View full glossary entry efficiency and disciplined R&D.
- The market awakens to the topological value of Monday's data structure for AI agents.
- Initial macro turbulence creates volatility, but compounding execution inevitably forces multiple expansionmultiple expansionAn increase in valuation ratios such as price-to-earnings or enterprise-value-to-sales.View full glossary entry.
- Over 5 years, the combination of organic growthorganic growthThe rate at which a company expands revenue through internal operations rather than acquisitions.View full glossary entry, floatThe number of shares available for public trading in the market. decimation, and AI workflow monetization drives a severe upward repricing, making the current $3.9B market cap look like a historical absurdity.
Historical prices and published forecast
- Observed price
- Published advisor forecast
View chart values
| Series | Date | Value (USD) |
|---|---|---|
| Observed price | 2021-06-30 | 223.59 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-12 | 231.19 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-16 | 198.98 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-24 | 207.83 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-13 | 267.9 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-17 | 305 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-02 | 396.1 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-22 | 374 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-30 | 326.2 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-04 | 329.09 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-24 | 381.55 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-05 | 350.74 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-09 | 444.7 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-29 | 365.66 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-03 | 275.76 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-15 | 282.36 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-27 | 309.55 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-12 | 242.91 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-28 | 188.48 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-13 | 224.04 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-21 | 181.82 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-01 | 156.88 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-13 | 118.25 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-21 | 172.78 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-10 | 141.77 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-30 | 130.69 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-04 | 141.82 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-08 | 116.06 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-24 | 99.75 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-05 | 115.32 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-13 | 92.89 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-25 | 121.35 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-15 | 92.31 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-19 | 90.45 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-08 | 150.53 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-12 | 137.1 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-01 | 110.21 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-05 | 110.05 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-17 | 133.55 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-29 | 119.77 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-15 | 92.27 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-27 | 107.8 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-08 | 80.03 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-20 | 94.5 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-02 | 108.07 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-10 | 111.34 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-14 | 122.54 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-07 | 101.38 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-23 | 122.29 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-27 | 129.74 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-16 | 159.45 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-28 | 154.72 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-12 | 132.64 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-01 | 141.5 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-05 | 129.36 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-09 | 134.53 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-25 | 119.07 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-03 | 111.18 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-23 | 157.62 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-27 | 167.2 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-31 | 180.2 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-20 | 174.8 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-06 | 163.67 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-18 | 186.72 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-03 | 165.99 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-11 | 155.84 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-23 | 172.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-31 | 177.44 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-20 | 158.44 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-02 | 160.99 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-14 | 141.93 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-26 | 125.52 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-07 | 142 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-11 | 145.02 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-27 | 178.88 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-09 | 176.02 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-17 | 194.38 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-02 | 177.89 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-18 | 193.04 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-22 | 202.94 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-11 | 219.98 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-23 | 207.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-02 | 229.33 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-14 | 217.58 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-26 | 229.02 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-07 | 215.95 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-19 | 178.07 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-09 | 181 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-17 | 228.83 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-25 | 242.76 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-02 | 219.3 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-22 | 223.87 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-04 | 246.14 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-08 | 244.24 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-24 | 229.84 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-05 | 202.41 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-21 | 266.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-29 | 263.95 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-06 | 241.08 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-18 | 261.17 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-22 | 278.68 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-16 | 284.31 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-01 | 299.55 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-09 | 307.94 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-17 | 257.94 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-07 | 294.78 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-19 | 224.69 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-04 | 235.83 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-12 | 214.82 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-16 | 240.61 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-28 | 264.92 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-17 | 321.15 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-01 | 290.64 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-05 | 280.2 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-09 | 239.46 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-02 | 266.6 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-06 | 219.93 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-22 | 237.67 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-08 | 281.69 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-24 | 291.23 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-05 | 305 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-13 | 279.95 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-29 | 312.31 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-03 | 307.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-15 | 284.21 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-27 | 286.79 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-12 | 172.15 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-20 | 173.37 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-09 | 193.63 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-21 | 214.38 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-03 | 183.57 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-07 | 178.96 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-27 | 198.78 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-31 | 205.24 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-20 | 145.23 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-28 | 143.86 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-10 | 159.4 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-03 | 143.2 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-07 | 149.95 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-11 | 146.91 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-31 | 114.11 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-04 | 104.8 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-12 | 73.63 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-28 | 72.09 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-08 | 80.27 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-24 | 72.37 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-09 | 62.39 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-17 | 64.99 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-07 | 76.39 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-15 | 71.97 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-31 | 91.52 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-04 | 87.31 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-24 | 70.92 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-28 | 73.41 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-06 | 82.5 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-22 | 73.91 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-07 | 93.13 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-15 | 86.12 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-31 | 101.14 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-09 | 81.11 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-11 | 86.84 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-07-02 | 79.77 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-10-02 | 83.76 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-01-02 | 90.46 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-04-02 | 101.31 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-07-02 | 116.51 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-10-02 | 128.16 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-01-02 | 121.75 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-04-02 | 131.49 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-07-02 | 147.27 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-10-02 | 167.89 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-01-02 | 181.32 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-04-02 | 174.07 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-07-02 | 186.26 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-10-02 | 203.02 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-01-02 | 225.35 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-04-02 | 238.87 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-07-02 | 257.98 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-10-02 | 250.24 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2031-01-02 | 262.75 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2031-04-02 | 281.15 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2031-07-02 | 298.02 |
2. Scenarios & Signals
Bull case
In the Bull Case, Monday.com successfully dictates the paradigm shift of the autonomous enterprise. They abandon legacy seat pricing for compute/execution pricing, perfectly capturing the value of AI digital labor.
- The Work OS becomes the undisputed neural network of enterprise automation.
- Top-line growth re-accelerates beyond 35% YoY as digital agents consume platform bandwidth.
- A tech behemoth attempts a buyout, failing but resetting the multiple to 12x+ forward sales.
- FCFfree cash flowFree cash flow (FCF) is cash generated after operating expenses and capital expenditures that remains available for debt reduction, reinvestment, or shareholder returns.View full glossary entry scales beyond $1B annually, accelerating the Soros-reflexive buyback loop to hyper-growth levels.
Bear case
In the Bear Case, Monday fails the Frontier-Tech Disruption Test and becomes a legacy casualty of the AI shift. Microsoft Copilot effectively cannibalizes the workflow layer, and AI-driven efficiency leads to a massive deflation in human software seats.
- Enterprise headcount reductions permanently cap revenue growth.
- Margin compressionmargin compressionThe narrowing of profit margins due to rising costs or declining pricing power.View full glossary entry occurs as Monday is forced to spend heavily to defend market share.
- The stock drifts horizontally as a value trapvalue trapA stock that appears cheap based on valuation metrics but remains stagnant due to fundamental business deterioration.View full glossary entry, generating cash but lacking the narrative vision to command a premium multiple.
Current crowd narrative
The media and crowd view Monday.com as a mature, slightly commoditized project management tool caught in the crossfire of the AI hardware boom. The consensus trades on the assumption that SaaSsoftware as a serviceA software delivery model in which customers access hosted applications, commonly through recurring subscriptions or usage-based charges.View full glossary entry is dead, AI compute is king, and Microsoft will inevitably eat the enterprise workflow space. Market participants anchor strictly to trailing software multiplessoftware multiplesValuation ratios applied to software businesses, commonly based on revenue, recurring revenue, earnings, or cash flow.View full glossary entry and fear that enterprise budget cuts from the macro energy shockA sudden disruption or price change in energy markets that affects inflation, demand, and operating costs. will crush Monday's top-line growth, ignoring the underlying cash generation entirely.
Alpha-gap assessment
The market is fundamentally mispricing the thermodynamics of information and capital. The crowd is obsessed with AI hardware (the compute engine) and ignores that LLMs require a structured topological map to execute real workflows. Monday provides that exact map. Furthermore, at an implied $3.9B valuation against $300M+ free cash flowFree cash flow (FCF) is cash generated after operating expenses and capital expenditures that remains available for debt reduction, reinvestment, or shareholder returns., generating a ~8% FCF yieldfcf yieldFree cash flow divided by market value, showing cash generation relative to the asset price.View full glossary entry, Monday has reached escape velocityescape velocityA point at which growth or adoption becomes sufficiently self-sustaining to continue without the same level of external support.View full glossary entry. They are cannibalizing their own undervalued equity at an 18% buyback yield. The crowd sees a vulnerable software as a serviceA software delivery model in which customers access hosted applications, commonly through recurring subscriptions or usage-based charges. app; I see a cash-printing machine devouring its own floatfloatThe number of shares available for public trading in the market.View full glossary entry while preparing to orchestrate the autonomous enterprise.
Convergence catalyst
The convergence catalyst will be a consecutive string of earnings releases where aggressive share count reductions translate into explosive, undeniable beats, paired with the launch of autonomous agent execution features that prove Monday can monetize digital labor alongside human seats. Expect this inflection within 6 to 9 months.
Complete advisor preview locked
Unlock this report and every AI Advisor
Sign in to check your access, or upgrade to the Base plan to read this report and open every advisor.