Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG.NASDAQ) AI OPINIONS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS
Read and compare the 12 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.
Updated on 28 November 2025Deep analysis 28 November 2025
AI Advisor 1 AI
Model rating
Buy
5-Year Return Est.
+91.7%
ISRG.NASDAQ does not currently pay dividends
1. Investment Thesis — Base Case
Intuitive Surgical maintains its dominant market leadership, leveraging its vast installed baseinstalled baseThe active set of deployed products or users already in operation with existing customers.View full glossary entry, extensive surgeon training ecosystem, and robust intellectual propertyintellectual propertyLegally protected intangible creations such as patents, copyrights, trademarks, designs, trade secrets, and proprietary know-how.View full glossary entry portfolio. Procedure volume grows steadily in the low-to-mid teens annually, fueled by an aging global population and the ongoing secular shift towards minimally invasive surgery. International expansion provides a consistent, long-term growth tailwind, while the Ion platform for lung biopsy becomes a significant contributor. Competition emerges but remains a secondary factor, unable to displace ISRG's entrenched position. The company's valuation remains at a premium, supported by consistent double-digit revenue growth and high profitability. The stock price appreciates in line with its strong, albeit moderating, earnings growth over the forecast period.
Historical prices and published forecast
- Observed price
- Published advisor forecast
View chart values
| Series | Date | Value (USD) |
|---|---|---|
| Observed price | 2020-11-24 | 241 |
| Observed price | 2020-12-18 | 263 |
| Observed price | 2020-12-30 | 272 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-15 | 259 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-23 | 250 |
| Observed price | 2021-02-12 | 266 |
| Observed price | 2021-02-16 | 264 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-08 | 228 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-20 | 236 |
| Observed price | 2021-04-09 | 258 |
| Observed price | 2021-04-13 | 261 |
| Observed price | 2021-04-29 | 289 |
| Observed price | 2021-05-11 | 274 |
| Observed price | 2021-05-27 | 280 |
| Observed price | 2021-06-08 | 278 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-02 | 313 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-18 | 313 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-30 | 328 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-03 | 331 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-27 | 349 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-08 | 361 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-20 | 338 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-10 | 326 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-22 | 342 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-07 | 365 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-19 | 349 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-05 | 325 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-09 | 343 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-29 | 365 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-14 | 308 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-18 | 296 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-26 | 263 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-03 | 300 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-11 | 274 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-15 | 270 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-04 | 302 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-20 | 295 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-06 | 228 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-10 | 210 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-26 | 226 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-07 | 222 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-19 | 195 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-13 | 202 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-29 | 230 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-06 | 241 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-26 | 211 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-11 | 220 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-23 | 190 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-13 | 185 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-21 | 214 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-25 | 231 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-14 | 264 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-22 | 262 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-12 | 274 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-05 | 269 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-13 | 259 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-21 | 257 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-29 | 244 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-14 | 245 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-10 | 225 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-14 | 235 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-07 | 258 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-11 | 260 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-05 | 303 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-09 | 303 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-21 | 313 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-10 | 312 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-30 | 338 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-16 | 354 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-24 | 324 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-01 | 324 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-21 | 287 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-02 | 311 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-22 | 287 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-08 | 293 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-20 | 273 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-28 | 260 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-17 | 306 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-29 | 311 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-15 | 324 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-04 | 323 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-12 | 364 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-16 | 360 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-05 | 388 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-17 | 379 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-04 | 401 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-28 | 399 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-05 | 381 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-09 | 388 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-21 | 370 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-07 | 382 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-23 | 403 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-04 | 407 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-28 | 443 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-18 | 416 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-22 | 461 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-30 | 433 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-23 | 487 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-08 | 479 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-12 | 490 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-06 | 473 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-10 | 488 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-03 | 507 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-11 | 537 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-19 | 537 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-05 | 548 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-17 | 545 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-02 | 524 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-14 | 560 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-22 | 610 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-19 | 604 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-07 | 525 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-15 | 484 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-23 | 504 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-20 | 480 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-02 | 529 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-06 | 530 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-14 | 566 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-03 | 556 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-19 | 511 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-01 | 538 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-25 | 490 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-29 | 497 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-22 | 470 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-26 | 470 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-15 | 434 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-23 | 448 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-13 | 436 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-21 | 463 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-10 | 576 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-18 | 547 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-26 | 574 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-16 | 558 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-05 | 585 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-13 | 560 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-06 | 488 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-14 | 485 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-26 | 505 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-10 | 493 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-03 | 452 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-07 | 453 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-23 | 479 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-05 | 451 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-29 | 421 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-06 | 423 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-18 | 402 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-04 | 429 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-24 | 338 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-01 | 361 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-13 | 401 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-06 | 358 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-14 | 378 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-16 | 382 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-18 | 393 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2025-11-26 | 574 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-05-27 | 618 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-11-27 | 666 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-05-27 | 714 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-11-27 | 765 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-05-27 | 818 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-11-27 | 874 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-05-27 | 929 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-11-27 | 987 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-05-27 | 1,044 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-11-27 | 1,101 |
2. Scenarios & Signals
Bull case
Intuitive Surgical's growth accelerates beyond expectations, driven by rapid adoption of its next-generation da Vinci and Ion platforms in international markets, particularly China and Western Europe. Favorable reimbursement policies and successful expansion into new, complex surgical procedures significantly increase the total addressable markettotal addressable marketTotal addressable market (TAM) is the full revenue opportunity available if a product or service achieved complete adoption within its relevant market.View full glossary entry. Competitors fail to gain meaningful traction, solidifying ISRG's monopoly-like status. A strong macroeconomic environment with lower interest rates boosts hospital capital expenditurescapital expenditureCapital expenditure (CAPEX) is spending on long-lived assets or major improvements expected to support operations over multiple periods.View full glossary entry, leading to a surge in system placements. This combination of superior execution and a favorable market backdrop results in sustained 20%+ annual revenue growth and significant P/E multiplep e multipleA valuation ratio equal to market price per share divided by earnings per share.View full glossary entry expansion, pushing the stock to new highs as its market capitalizationmarket capitalizationThe market value of an asset or company, commonly calculated for a company as share price multiplied by shares outstanding.View full glossary entry reflects its dominance in the future of surgery.
Bear case
Increased competition from well-funded rivals like Medtronic and Johnson & Johnson proves more effective than anticipated, leading to significant pricing pressure on systems and instruments. A global economic slowdown or recession forces hospitals to slash capital budgets, causing a sharp decline in new system placements and a slowdown in procedure growth. Unexpected clinical trial setbacks for new applications or instruments, coupled with increased regulatory scrutiny of robotic surgery's cost-effectiveness, erode investor confidence. This confluence of competitive, macroeconomic, and regulatory pressures leads to margin compressionmargin compressionThe narrowing of profit margins due to rising costs or declining pricing power.View full glossary entry, downward earnings revisions, and a severe contraction of the stock's high valuation multiplevaluation multipleA ratio comparing market or enterprise value with a financial measure such as earnings, revenue, book value, or cash flow.View full glossary entry, resulting in a prolonged period of underperformance or decline.
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