CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD.NASDAQ) AI OPINIONS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS
Read and compare the 12 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.
Updated on 28 November 2025Deep analysis 28 November 2025
AI Advisor 1 AI
Model rating
Neutral
5-Year Return Est.
+190.9%
CRWD.NASDAQ does not currently pay dividends
1. Investment Thesis — Base Case
CrowdStrike continues to outpace the overall cybersecurity market, driven by its technological leadership and successful platform strategy. Revenue growth will gradually moderate from the 30% range towards the low 20s over the five-year horizon as the law of large numberslaw of large numbersA statistical principle stating that an average tends to approach its expected value as the number of independent observations increases.View full glossary entry takes effect. The company will successfully expand its footprint in adjacent markets like cloud and identity security, but competition will cap market share gains and temper pricing powerpricing powerThe ability of a company to raise prices without losing significant customer demand.View full glossary entry. The stock's performance will be a function of executing on its growth targets while demonstrating a clear path to sustained GAAP profitabilitygaap profitabilityGAAP profitability refers to earnings that remain positive under generally accepted accounting principles, including standard operating and noncash expense recognition.View full glossary entry. Valuation will remain a headwind, leading to periods of volatility, but the underlying business strength and secular tailwindssecular tailwindsLong-term structural trends that support demand, growth, margins, or asset values across multiple economic cycles.View full glossary entry in cybersecurity should support continued, albeit moderating, price appreciation.
Historical prices and published forecast
- Observed price
- Published advisor forecast
View chart values
| Series | Date | Value (USD) |
|---|---|---|
| Observed price | 2020-11-25 | 37.5 |
| Observed price | 2020-12-19 | 51.5 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-04 | 50.1 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-12 | 58.4 |
| Observed price | 2021-01-28 | 53.1 |
| Observed price | 2021-02-13 | 60.5 |
| Observed price | 2021-02-17 | 59.6 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-05 | 45.8 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-17 | 52.0 |
| Observed price | 2021-03-29 | 43.5 |
| Observed price | 2021-04-26 | 56.1 |
| Observed price | 2021-05-08 | 47.2 |
| Observed price | 2021-05-16 | 47.3 |
| Observed price | 2021-05-28 | 55.5 |
| Observed price | 2021-06-09 | 53.5 |
| Observed price | 2021-06-29 | 64.3 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-15 | 62.3 |
| Observed price | 2021-07-23 | 67.2 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-16 | 58.7 |
| Observed price | 2021-08-28 | 70.9 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-05 | 68.5 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-13 | 63.5 |
| Observed price | 2021-09-29 | 59.9 |
| Observed price | 2021-10-19 | 70.6 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-12 | 71.1 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-20 | 62.9 |
| Observed price | 2021-11-24 | 57.7 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-06 | 48.7 |
| Observed price | 2021-12-26 | 52.5 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-15 | 43.9 |
| Observed price | 2022-01-27 | 40.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-12 | 45.4 |
| Observed price | 2022-02-28 | 48.8 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-08 | 39.2 |
| Observed price | 2022-03-16 | 47.4 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-01 | 57.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-04-13 | 60.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-07 | 39.4 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-11 | 34.4 |
| Observed price | 2022-05-27 | 41.7 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-16 | 39.3 |
| Observed price | 2022-06-24 | 46.2 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-10 | 46.8 |
| Observed price | 2022-07-26 | 42.3 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-07 | 47.5 |
| Observed price | 2022-08-15 | 50.5 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-12 | 48.8 |
| Observed price | 2022-09-24 | 40.0 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-06 | 44.6 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-14 | 36.5 |
| Observed price | 2022-10-30 | 40.5 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-07 | 31.2 |
| Observed price | 2022-11-23 | 35.2 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-17 | 27.6 |
| Observed price | 2022-12-21 | 26.8 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-06 | 23.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-01-18 | 25.3 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-07 | 28.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-02-19 | 28.3 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-03 | 31.5 |
| Observed price | 2023-03-31 | 34.3 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-08 | 32.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-04-16 | 34.2 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-02 | 29.2 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-14 | 33.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-05-30 | 39.6 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-15 | 40.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-06-23 | 35.9 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-05 | 36.3 |
| Observed price | 2023-07-29 | 39.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-02 | 38.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-18 | 36.7 |
| Observed price | 2023-08-30 | 37.3 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-11 | 43.1 |
| Observed price | 2023-09-27 | 40.8 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-17 | 46.8 |
| Observed price | 2023-10-29 | 43.5 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-14 | 52.0 |
| Observed price | 2023-11-22 | 52.4 |
| Observed price | 2023-12-16 | 65.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-05 | 61.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-13 | 71.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-01-17 | 69.1 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-10 | 81.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-02-14 | 83.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-05 | 74.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-03-13 | 83.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-06 | 78.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-04-22 | 72.3 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-04 | 78.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-05-24 | 87.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-01 | 78.0 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-05 | 85.5 |
| Observed price | 2024-06-17 | 97.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-07 | 97.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-07-27 | 64.3 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-04 | 55.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-08-24 | 67.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-09 | 61.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-21 | 74.4 |
| Observed price | 2024-09-29 | 70.6 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-11 | 80.1 |
| Observed price | 2024-10-31 | 74.2 |
| Observed price | 2024-11-12 | 85.9 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-10 | 86.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-14 | 93.7 |
| Observed price | 2024-12-26 | 91.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-11 | 86.6 |
| Observed price | 2025-01-19 | 90.4 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-08 | 106 |
| Observed price | 2025-02-16 | 113 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-08 | 81.3 |
| Observed price | 2025-03-24 | 93.2 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-05 | 80.6 |
| Observed price | 2025-04-21 | 90.7 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-03 | 110 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-07 | 106 |
| Observed price | 2025-05-31 | 118 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-04 | 115 |
| Observed price | 2025-06-28 | 126 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-06 | 127 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-26 | 117 |
| Observed price | 2025-07-30 | 116 |
| Observed price | 2025-08-19 | 105 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-04 | 103 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-20 | 125 |
| Observed price | 2025-09-24 | 119 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-02 | 124 |
| Observed price | 2025-10-22 | 125 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-11 | 139 |
| Observed price | 2025-11-19 | 130 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-13 | 125 |
| Observed price | 2025-12-21 | 121 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-02 | 113 |
| Observed price | 2026-01-26 | 117 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-07 | 99.9 |
| Observed price | 2026-02-23 | 87.6 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-07 | 108 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-11 | 111 |
| Observed price | 2026-03-27 | 92.4 |
| Observed price | 2026-04-12 | 98.6 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-02 | 115 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-06 | 117 |
| Observed price | 2026-05-30 | 187 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-03 | 187 |
| Observed price | 2026-06-07 | 166 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-17 | 203 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-25 | 182 |
| Observed price | 2026-07-29 | 179 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-10 | 225 |
| Observed price | 2026-08-26 | 189 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-15 | 242 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-17 | 246 |
| Observed price | 2026-09-18 | 238 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2025-11-26 | 125 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-05-27 | 142 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2026-11-27 | 160 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-05-27 | 180 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2027-11-27 | 202 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-05-27 | 224 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2028-11-27 | 250 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-05-27 | 276 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2029-11-27 | 304 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-05-27 | 333 |
| Published advisor forecast | 2030-11-27 | 365 |
2. Scenarios & Signals
Bull case
CrowdStrike accelerates capture from legacy and fragmented competitors by leveraging its AI-native Falcon platform. The successful rollout and adoption of Charlotte AI and expanded modules in cloud security, identity, and SIEM lead to higher annual recurring revenueannual recurring revenueAnnual recurring revenue (ARR) measures the normalized yearly value of contracted recurring revenue, typically excluding one-time items.View full glossary entry () per customer and sustained 35%+ revenue growth. A favorable macroeconomic environment with elevated cybersecurity spending, driven by persistent nation-state threats, supports premium valuation multiples. Strong free cash flowfree cash flowFree cash flow (FCF) is cash generated after operating expenses and capital expenditures that remains available for debt reduction, reinvestment, or shareholder returns.View full glossary entry generation and operating marginoperating marginsOperating profit as a percentage of revenue after operating expenses, before interest and taxes.View full glossary entry expansion significantly exceed expectations, pushing the stock to new highs as it solidifies its position as the definitive leader in the cybersecurity sector. The implied market capitalizationmarket capitalizationThe market value of an asset or company, commonly calculated for a company as share price multiplied by shares outstanding.View full glossary entry, while substantial, is justified by its dominant platform and large, expanding total addressable markettotal addressable marketTotal addressable market (TAM) is the full revenue opportunity available if a product or service achieved complete adoption within its relevant market.View full glossary entry.
Bear case
Intensifying competition from platform giants like Microsoft (with its Defender suite) and Palo Alto Networks leads to significant pricing pressure and margin compressionmargin compressionThe narrowing of profit margins due to rising costs or declining pricing power.View full glossary entry. A severe macroeconomic downturn forces enterprises to consolidate vendors and slash IT security budgets, elongating sales cycles and dramatically slowing ARR growtharr growthThe increase in annual recurring revenue over a specified period.View full glossary entry to the low double-digits. The company's high valuation proves unsustainable as growth decelerates, leading to a severe multiple contraction. Furthermore, a critical vulnerability discovered in the Falcon platform or a major customer breach could irreparably damage its reputation for superior protection, causing customer churn and making new acquisitions difficult. Stock-based compensation continues to weigh on gaap profitabilityGAAP profitability refers to earnings that remain positive under generally accepted accounting principles, including standard operating and noncash expense recognition., deterring investors.
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