Skip to main content
Assets
DoorDash logo
DASH.NYSE
DoorDash
Consumer Discretionary · Restaurants

Food delivery platform connecting consumers with local restaurants and merchants through technology-driven logistics network.

HQ: United StatesListed: United States

Historical AI Opinions

Audit every published iPulse AI forecast batch and immutable historical research document for DoorDash.

DoorDash, Inc. (DASH.NYSE) AI OPINIONS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS

Read and compare the 14 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.

Updated on 20 September 2026Deep analysis 20 September 2026

25 min readAudit All Past Forecasts

1. Investment Thesis — Base Case

The evidence points one way: DoorDash's cash engine compounds while reported earnings stay buried under Deliveroo purchase accounting and a $1.2-1.3B compensation bill. Ex-Deliveroo GOV grew 23% in Q2 2026 with /GOV climbing to 2.8%, and the marginal order costs almost nothing incremental to serve. The base case assumes GOV roughly doubles by 2031, /GOV approaches 4.5%, and repurchases steadily shrink the count. The 2026 de-rating was a discount-rate event; reversal requires only that long rates stop rising, not that anything improves.

  • FY2026 near $3.7B on guidance implies roughly 23x EV/, against 45x trailing.
  • Sustained mid-teens GOV growth with 4%-plus /GOV supports roughly $10B by 2031.
  • Twenty times that across a shrinking share count roughly doubles per-share value from $193.

Historical prices and published forecast

Historical prices and published forecastObserved prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in USD.14.37104.54194.72284.89375.06Sep 2021Mar 2024Sep 2026Mar 2029Sep 2031Forecast starts
  • Observed price
  • Published advisor forecast
Observed prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in USD.
View chart values
Historical prices and published forecast — published chart values
SeriesDateValue (USD)
Observed price2021-09-15210
Observed price2021-09-19221
Observed price2021-10-05200
Observed price2021-10-21219
Observed price2021-10-29195
Observed price2021-11-06197
Observed price2021-11-14244
Observed price2021-11-26188
Observed price2021-12-16144
Observed price2021-12-24154
Observed price2022-01-05128
Observed price2022-01-13132
Observed price2022-02-02104
Observed price2022-02-2293.2
Observed price2022-02-26102
Observed price2022-03-1476.1
Observed price2022-03-22111
Observed price2022-04-03125
Observed price2022-04-11105
Observed price2022-04-19107
Observed price2022-05-0964.2
Observed price2022-05-2166.8
Observed price2022-05-2977.5
Observed price2022-06-1458.5
Observed price2022-06-2672.2
Observed price2022-06-3064.2
Observed price2022-07-2077.2
Observed price2022-07-2870.1
Observed price2022-08-0580.3
Observed price2022-08-1768.2
Observed price2022-09-0658.2
Observed price2022-09-1064.8
Observed price2022-09-3049.5
Observed price2022-10-0454.2
Observed price2022-10-2444.4
Observed price2022-11-0145.1
Observed price2022-11-1362.3
Observed price2022-11-2953.3
Observed price2022-12-1157.1
Observed price2022-12-1555.3
Observed price2022-12-2748.4
Observed price2023-01-0848.0
Observed price2023-01-2459.5
Observed price2023-02-0961.9
Observed price2023-02-2158.1
Observed price2023-03-1353.8
Observed price2023-03-1759.6
Observed price2023-03-2959.9
Observed price2023-04-0263.8
Observed price2023-04-2657.5
Observed price2023-05-0462.8
Observed price2023-05-0866.8
Observed price2023-05-1664.2
Observed price2023-06-0167.6
Observed price2023-06-1773.2
Observed price2023-06-2573.3
Observed price2023-07-1584.4
Observed price2023-07-3190.8
Observed price2023-08-0483.6
Observed price2023-08-2476.1
Observed price2023-09-0184.0
Observed price2023-09-0583.7
Observed price2023-09-2575.5
Observed price2023-10-1180.8
Observed price2023-10-1973.4
Observed price2023-10-2770.7
Observed price2023-11-0491.3
Observed price2023-11-2493.8
Observed price2023-12-0297.2
Observed price2023-12-18103
Observed price2023-12-3098.3
Observed price2024-01-0393.8
Observed price2024-01-19106
Observed price2024-01-31104
Observed price2024-02-12118
Observed price2024-02-20115
Observed price2024-03-07133
Observed price2024-03-15131
Observed price2024-03-27139
Observed price2024-04-12138
Observed price2024-04-24127
Observed price2024-05-06118
Observed price2024-05-22112
Observed price2024-05-30111
Observed price2024-06-07113
Observed price2024-06-23112
Observed price2024-07-01109
Observed price2024-07-25101
Observed price2024-08-02117
Observed price2024-08-06123
Observed price2024-08-18129
Observed price2024-09-07124
Observed price2024-09-19137
Observed price2024-09-23140
Observed price2024-10-13150
Observed price2024-10-17151
Observed price2024-11-06170
Observed price2024-11-18173
Observed price2024-11-30179
Observed price2024-12-16180
Observed price2024-12-20171
Observed price2025-01-05175
Observed price2025-01-13168
Observed price2025-01-21178
Observed price2025-02-06196
Observed price2025-02-14213
Observed price2025-03-06180
Observed price2025-03-10178
Observed price2025-03-22193
Observed price2025-04-07166
Observed price2025-04-15182
Observed price2025-05-05205
Observed price2025-05-09184
Observed price2025-05-29205
Observed price2025-06-06218
Observed price2025-06-14220
Observed price2025-06-30247
Observed price2025-07-16235
Observed price2025-07-28246
Observed price2025-08-09258
Observed price2025-08-21245
Observed price2025-09-02244
Observed price2025-09-14258
Observed price2025-09-26262
Observed price2025-10-08281
Observed price2025-10-12271
Observed price2025-11-01250
Observed price2025-11-05238
Observed price2025-11-21190
Observed price2025-11-29201
Observed price2025-12-19234
Observed price2025-12-27233
Observed price2026-01-12215
Observed price2026-01-24208
Observed price2026-02-05184
Observed price2026-02-09186
Observed price2026-02-13160
Observed price2026-03-05183
Observed price2026-03-25153
Observed price2026-03-29148
Observed price2026-04-18186
Observed price2026-04-22182
Observed price2026-05-12155
Observed price2026-05-28157
Observed price2026-06-01165
Observed price2026-06-09156
Observed price2026-06-29185
Observed price2026-07-07196
Observed price2026-07-23170
Observed price2026-07-27184
Observed price2026-08-16214
Observed price2026-08-28237
Observed price2026-09-09197
Observed price2026-09-13203
Observed price2026-09-24188
Observed price2026-09-25193
Published advisor forecast2026-09-18193
Published advisor forecast2026-12-18187
Published advisor forecast2027-03-18197
Published advisor forecast2027-06-18210
Published advisor forecast2027-09-18219
Published advisor forecast2027-12-18230
Published advisor forecast2028-03-18236
Published advisor forecast2028-06-18248
Published advisor forecast2028-09-18238
Published advisor forecast2028-12-18255
Published advisor forecast2029-03-18265
Published advisor forecast2029-06-18273
Published advisor forecast2029-09-18284
Published advisor forecast2029-12-18293
Published advisor forecast2030-03-18278
Published advisor forecast2030-06-18295
Published advisor forecast2030-09-18307
Published advisor forecast2030-12-18316
Published advisor forecast2031-03-18325
Published advisor forecast2031-06-18335
Published advisor forecast2031-09-18345

2. Scenarios & Signals

Bull case

The bull case activates when two clocks align: Dot proving sub-human cost per delivery across several metros while the 10-year retreats toward 3.5%. Cheaper fulfilment lifts contribution margin per order, which funds lower consumer fees, which lifts frequency, which deepens courier and robot density — a genuine reflexive loop. Falling rates then apply a higher multiple to visibly faster cash-flow compounding. Investors would own automation economics purchased at a logistics-marketplace multiple.

Bear case

The bear case activates when regulation and competition arrive together. A binding state reclassification converts variable courier cost into fixed payroll just as a well-capitalized entrant or commission caps force lower. Contribution margin per order compresses from both ends, the /GOV ladder stalls near 3%, and the buyback becomes an expensive defence of a falling multiple. With rates still restrictive, a growth company without loses its entire .

Current crowd narrative

The crowd has stopped arguing about the business and started arguing about the price. Sell-side stayed overwhelmingly constructive through the drawdown, 27 Buys and eight Outperforms with a $248 mean target against a $166 price in May [3], while the tape fell 22% over twelve months [2]. The anchoring bias is the 101x trailing P/E, which media treat as settled evidence of overvaluation while ignoring that forward EV/ sits near 22x.

Alpha-gap assessment

The crowd modestly underestimates these shares, and the blind spot is an accounting one. Trailing metrics carry roughly $450M of acquired-intangible amortization and $1.2-1.3B of stock compensation [6], producing a 101x P/E that bears quote and bulls cannot refute quickly. Strip Deliveroo purchase accounting and the same enterprise trades near 22x guided 2026 while ex-Deliveroo GOV compounds at 23% [6]. The offsetting truth: that compensation is real cash cost to owners, so the gap is meaningful, not enormous.

Convergence catalyst

The Q4 2026 print in February 2027 is the pivot. Headline growth drops to the low-twenties as Deliveroo laps, and reported absorbs a $700-800M merchant-payment timing effect [12]. The first repricing sign is /GOV holding above 3% while the growth scare sells off.

Complete advisor preview locked

Unlock this report and every AI Advisor

Sign in to check your access, or upgrade to the Base plan to read this report and open every advisor.