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Historical AI Opinions

Audit every published iPulse AI forecast batch and immutable historical research document for Bank of America.

Bank of America Corporation (BAC.NYSE) AI OPINIONS & ADVISOR ANALYSIS

Read and compare the 14 individual AI Advisor deep-dive reports, including their forecast paths, ratings, price targets, and reasoning.

Updated on 20 September 2026Deep analysis 20 September 2026

25 min readAudit All Past Forecasts

1. Investment Thesis — Base Case

The central tension is that Bank of America is two businesses wearing one ticker: a deposit-funded rate utility that is compounding reliably, and a capital-markets option that is visibly losing altitude. The evidence points to the utility winning. Fixed-rate asset repricing lifted from $13.9bn to $16.2bn since mid-2024 [3], and that mechanism continues while the Fed holds near 4%. Against it, fee guidance has cracked [6], provisions sit at cycle lows and the 2027 surcharge tightens capital. The base case is mid-single-digit earnings growth, amplified by buybacks, at a multiple that drifts up only modestly rather than re-rating dramatically.

  • Earnings anchor: TTM $4.61 grows toward roughly $6.70 by 2031 as buybacks shrink shares near 6bn.
  • Valuation bridge: holding today's 12.5x trailing multiple on that implies a share price near $84.
  • Scale cross-check: about $500bn market capitalisation against rebuilt tangible book near $45 per share, roughly 1.9x.

Historical prices and published forecast

Historical prices and published forecastObserved prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in USD.19.9737.555.0372.5690.08Sep 2021Mar 2024Sep 2026Mar 2029Sep 2031Forecast starts
  • Observed price
  • Published advisor forecast
Observed prices and the selected advisor's published projection share a split-adjusted price basis. Prices after the forecast start are later observations, not information known at publication. Forecasts are uncertain. Values in USD.
View chart values
Historical prices and published forecast — published chart values
SeriesDateValue (USD)
Observed price2021-09-1740.2
Observed price2021-09-2139.5
Observed price2021-10-0843.9
Observed price2021-10-1344.6
Observed price2021-10-3047.8
Observed price2021-11-1247.1
Observed price2021-11-2945.4
Observed price2021-12-0444.8
Observed price2021-12-1743.6
Observed price2021-12-3045.0
Observed price2022-01-1248.7
Observed price2022-01-2545.4
Observed price2022-02-1148.7
Observed price2022-02-2045.1
Observed price2022-03-0541.0
Observed price2022-03-2244.1
Observed price2022-04-0839.3
Observed price2022-04-1339.1
Observed price2022-04-2636.4
Observed price2022-05-2234.7
Observed price2022-05-3037.2
Observed price2022-06-0436.1
Observed price2022-06-1732.0
Observed price2022-07-1330.5
Observed price2022-07-2133.4
Observed price2022-08-0333.4
Observed price2022-08-1636.4
Observed price2022-08-2535.0
Observed price2022-09-0333.7
Observed price2022-09-1634.1
Observed price2022-10-0730.6
Observed price2022-10-1230.0
Observed price2022-11-0236.3
Observed price2022-11-1138.0
Observed price2022-11-2837.0
Observed price2022-12-0335.3
Observed price2022-12-1631.9
Observed price2022-12-2933.2
Observed price2023-01-1134.3
Observed price2023-01-2434.7
Observed price2023-02-0636.5
Observed price2023-02-1934.7
Observed price2023-03-1229.2
Observed price2023-03-2127.3
Observed price2023-03-3028.5
Observed price2023-04-2029.9
Observed price2023-05-0327.9
Observed price2023-05-0827.5
Observed price2023-05-2128.5
Observed price2023-06-0729.3
Observed price2023-06-2427.9
Observed price2023-06-2928.4
Observed price2023-07-2031.8
Observed price2023-07-2532.1
Observed price2023-08-1529.7
Observed price2023-08-2028.8
Observed price2023-09-0628.4
Observed price2023-09-1529.1
Observed price2023-10-0626.4
Observed price2023-10-2425.8
Observed price2023-11-0227.7
Observed price2023-11-1027.8
Observed price2023-11-2829.9
Observed price2023-12-0230.5
Observed price2023-12-2433.5
Observed price2024-01-0634.3
Observed price2024-01-1932.2
Observed price2024-01-2332.9
Observed price2024-02-0133.5
Observed price2024-02-1833.7
Observed price2024-03-1135.9
Observed price2024-03-1535.5
Observed price2024-03-2837.9
Observed price2024-04-1435.1
Observed price2024-04-2338.2
Observed price2024-05-0637.7
Observed price2024-05-2339.1
Observed price2024-06-1039.1
Observed price2024-06-1839.8
Observed price2024-06-2739.7
Observed price2024-07-1943.3
Observed price2024-07-2342.0
Observed price2024-08-0537.4
Observed price2024-08-1838.8
Observed price2024-08-3140.4
Observed price2024-09-1339.0
Observed price2024-09-1740.1
Observed price2024-10-0940.0
Observed price2024-10-2642.6
Observed price2024-11-0441.9
Observed price2024-11-2647.7
Observed price2024-11-3047.2
Observed price2024-12-1743.6
Observed price2024-12-2644.3
Observed price2025-01-1746.5
Observed price2025-01-2145.9
Observed price2025-02-0747.2
Observed price2025-02-1646.4
Observed price2025-03-1040.0
Observed price2025-03-2342.9
Observed price2025-04-0535.0
Observed price2025-04-1336.7
Observed price2025-05-0140.2
Observed price2025-05-0540.8
Observed price2025-05-1844.8
Observed price2025-05-3144.1
Observed price2025-06-2246.2
Observed price2025-06-3048.4
Observed price2025-07-1346.3
Observed price2025-07-2648.1
Observed price2025-08-0445.5
Observed price2025-08-1748.0
Observed price2025-09-0350.6
Observed price2025-09-1250.4
Observed price2025-09-2552.1
Observed price2025-10-0849.9
Observed price2025-10-3053.1
Observed price2025-11-1254.0
Observed price2025-11-2051.3
Observed price2025-11-2953.1
Observed price2025-12-2155.7
Observed price2026-01-0756.5
Observed price2026-01-1652.3
Observed price2026-01-2451.8
Observed price2026-02-0655.1
Observed price2026-02-1552.6
Observed price2026-03-0947.8
Observed price2026-03-1347.2
Observed price2026-04-0450.3
Observed price2026-04-0852.1
Observed price2026-04-1753.5
Observed price2026-05-0452.3
Observed price2026-05-1350.3
Observed price2026-05-3051.9
Observed price2026-06-2157.3
Observed price2026-06-3057.0
Observed price2026-07-1761.2
Observed price2026-07-2161.5
Observed price2026-08-1264.6
Observed price2026-08-1664.0
Observed price2026-08-2161.7
Observed price2026-09-1161.9
Observed price2026-09-2356.0
Observed price2026-09-2556.7
Published advisor forecast2026-09-1857.7
Published advisor forecast2026-12-1856.6
Published advisor forecast2027-03-1859.4
Published advisor forecast2027-06-1861.2
Published advisor forecast2027-09-1859.4
Published advisor forecast2027-12-1861.7
Published advisor forecast2028-03-1863.6
Published advisor forecast2028-06-1860.4
Published advisor forecast2028-09-1858.0
Published advisor forecast2028-12-1859.7
Published advisor forecast2029-03-1862.7
Published advisor forecast2029-06-1865.8
Published advisor forecast2029-09-1867.8
Published advisor forecast2029-12-1869.9
Published advisor forecast2030-03-1871.9
Published advisor forecast2030-06-1873.4
Published advisor forecast2030-09-1875.6
Published advisor forecast2030-12-1878.6
Published advisor forecast2031-03-1880.2
Published advisor forecast2031-06-1882.6
Published advisor forecast2031-09-1884.2

2. Scenarios & Signals

Bull case

The bull case activates when the Fed reaches terminal without breaking the consumer. Deposit beta stays anchored while asset yields keep repricing, pushing net interest yield above 2.20%; the deal pipeline Moynihan called full converts as financing costs stabilise; and a rewritten capital framework releases excess CET1 into a buyback larger than $40bn. Each effect reinforces the next, lifting toward 20% and justifying 15x earnings. The result is a share price well beyond $100 by 2031.

Bear case

The bear case begins where the fee warning meets the . Brent above $100 keeps inflation near 3.5%, the Fed holds restrictive, unemployment climbs past 5%, and card and small-business losses drive provisions toward $3bn a quarter. Simultaneously deposit competition forces repricing, compressing net interest yield below 1.90%, while the January 2027 surcharge and AOCI marks halt repurchases. Earnings and the multiple fall together, leaving the stock near tangible book around $40.

Current crowd narrative

The consensus trade is "cheap with a rate tailwind": 24 analysts rate it Buy at an average $68.86 target [22], anchored on 12.5x trailing earnings and 6-8% NII growth treated as settled fact. That band was largely set before Moynihan's 14 September fee warning [6]. The anchoring bias is mistaking a below-market multiple for automatic upside while ignoring a cycle-low provision.

Alpha-gap assessment

The crowd modestly underestimates these shares, but for a reason it has not articulated. Sell-side focus sits on guidance and fee disappointment; almost nobody models the mechanical rebuild of tangible book as the fixed-rate securities portfolio amortises to par. With roughly $515bn held to maturity at depressed carrying economics [12][18], that accretion raises tangible book per share independently of earnings, quietly lowering the price-to-tangible-book multiple investors think they are paying. The offset is real: fee share loss and the 2027 surcharge cap the re-rate.

Convergence catalyst

The October 2026 third-quarter print is the first test: if fees land at $1.8bn rather than $1.6bn while beats, the fee scare is revealed as mix, not decay. The clearer catalyst is January 2027, when a re-authorised buyback and 2027 net-interest-income guidance arrive together.

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